Pennsylvania

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.6%Pennsylvania

27.4%Lafayette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPennsylvania -5.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.4

MODEL MONEYLINEPennsylvania -265

Lafayette

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePennsylvania 77

Projected Total148.4

Projected ScoreLafayette 72

Team Comparison

PennsylvaniaMetricLafayette

52.9MMH Power Index39.6

108.6Offensive Efficiency102.9

106.4Defensive Efficiency110.3

2.2Net Efficiency-7.4

1.9Strength of Schedule-1.4

2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.4

69.9Tempo67.5

50.9%Effective FG%49.4%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.4%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %25.7%

36.3%Free Throw Rate33.0%

1.5Average Margin-5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Pennsylvania HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPennsylvania holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.9–39.6), offensive efficiency (108.6–102.9), defensive efficiency (106.4–110.3), net efficiency (2.2–-7.4).

Final

Pennsylvania

63—65

Lafayette

Lafayette by 2 • 58.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PennsylvaniaTEAM STATLafayette

21-56FG22-54

38.0%FG%41.0%

7-223PT9-20

32.0%3PT%45.0%

14-24FT12-17

58.0%FT%71.0%

39Rebounds36

16Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists14

8Turnovers7

4Steals4

5Blocks1

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Roberts	F	36	4-11	1-2	5-6	6	6	0	0	14
Nick Spinoso	Forward	27	5-9	1-1	2-6	7	1	0	4	13
Sam Brown	G	34	4-11	3-7	0-0	8	0	0	0	11
Dylan Williams	G	28	3-8	1-5	4-6	1	1	0	0	11
Michael Zanoni	F	18	3-7	1-4	2-2	2	2	1	0	9
George Smith	Guard	21	1-3	0-1	1-3	4	2	1	0	3
Augustus Gerhart	F	26	1-4	0-0	0-0	9	0	1	1	2
Johnnie Walter	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-1	0	0	1	0	0
Reese McMullen	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
AJ Levine	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Williams	G	22	4-11	4-8	5-6	1	0	0	0	17
Mark Butler	G	34	3-6	0-0	5-6	4	2	0	0	11
Alex Chaikin	G	14	3-6	2-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	10
Joshua Wyche	G	26	4-8	1-2	0-0	4	3	1	0	9
Malik Rasul	F	10	3-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	7
Andrew Phillips	G	13	2-5	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Ryan Pettit	G	21	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	3	3	0	4
Misha Bednostin	C	29	1-4	0-0	0-3	15	2	0	1	2
TJ Berger	G	18	0-4	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	0	0
Luka Savicevic	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Folabomi Fayemi	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.3Possessions58.3

108.1Offensive Efficiency111.5

111.5Defensive Efficiency108.1

-3.4Net Efficiency3.4

43.8%Effective FG%49.1%

46.7%True Shooting %52.4%

13.5%Turnover Rate12.3%

42.9%Free Throw Rate31.5%

39.3%3-Point Rate37.0%

1.63Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 58.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.