Monmouth

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

88.6%Monmouth

11.4%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMonmouth -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMonmouth -777

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMonmouth 79

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 67

Team Comparison

MonmouthMetricNorthern Illinois

52.2MMH Power Index29.2

106.4Offensive Efficiency99.7

103.8Defensive Efficiency111.6

2.6Net Efficiency-11.9

0.4Strength of Schedule-2.1

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

68.3Tempo69.7

49.9%Effective FG%48.5%

16.6%Turnover Rate21.3%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

33.6%Free Throw Rate39.6%

1.8Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Monmouth HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMonmouth holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.2–29.2), offensive efficiency (106.4–99.7), defensive efficiency (103.8–111.6), net efficiency (2.6–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–31.4), free throw rate (39.6–33.6).

Final

Monmouth

66—79

Northern Illinois

Northern Illinois by 13 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MonmouthTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

19-61FG23-48

31.0%FG%48.0%

4-163PT9-20

25.0%3PT%45.0%

24-36FT24-35

67.0%FT%69.0%

43Rebounds37

18Offensive Rebounds8

6Assists11

12Turnovers14

5Steals3

1Blocks9

27Fouls24

Player Box Score

Monmouth

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Abdi Bashir Jr.	G	36	9-21	2-8	5-5	5	2	2	0	25
Madison Durr	G	35	5-16	1-1	3-6	5	2	1	0	14
Justin Ray	G	20	2-5	1-3	5-6	3	0	0	0	10
Cornelius Robinson III	F	28	3-8	0-0	2-3	8	0	0	0	8
Jack Collins	G	32	0-6	0-3	5-6	7	2	1	0	5
Andrew Ball	G	14	0-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Chris Morgan	F	12	0-1	0-0	1-6	3	0	0	1	1
Dok Muordar	C	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Jordan Meka	Forward	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Aric Demings	Guard	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Corey Miller	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quentin Jones	G	40	6-12	3-6	7-10	2	1	0	1	22
Ethan Butler	F	23	6-9	1-2	2-3	3	1	1	3	15
James Dent Jr.	G	37	2-5	2-4	4-6	8	2	1	3	10
Kailon Nicholls	G	24	3-9	0-2	4-5	2	2	1	0	10
Nas Muhammad	G	21	3-6	2-3	1-2	2	3	0	0	9
Joe Munden Jr.	Not Available	26	1-4	1-3	1-2	3	2	0	1	4
Quaran McPherson	G	8	0-0	0-0	4-4	0	0	0	0	4
Jayden Mott	F	5	1-1	0-0	1-3	4	0	0	0	3
Oluwasegun Durosinmi	Forward	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

92.4Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency92.4

-18.2Net Efficiency18.2

34.4%Effective FG%57.3%

42.3%True Shooting %61.1%

16.6%Turnover Rate19.8%

59.0%Free Throw Rate72.9%

26.2%3-Point Rate41.7%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Northern Illinois won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.