American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.4%American University

75.6%Siena

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSiena -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL140.9

MODEL MONEYLINESiena -310

Siena

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 67

Projected Total140.9

Projected ScoreSiena 74

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricSiena

48.2MMH Power Index53.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency109.2

105.8Defensive Efficiency102.2

4.8Net Efficiency7.0

-4.3Strength of Schedule-0.5

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.0

67.5Tempo64.4

52.6%Effective FG%50.7%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.8%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

30.1%Free Throw Rate34.9%

3.3Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Siena HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSiena holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–48.2), defensive efficiency (102.2–105.8), net efficiency (7.0–4.8), strength of schedule (-0.5–-4.3).

American University COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–109.2), shooting efficiency (52.6–50.7), ball security (15.7–15.8).

Final

American University

66—74

Siena

Siena by 8 • 59.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATSiena

24-55FG26-47

44.0%FG%55.0%

9-183PT4-9

50.0%3PT%44.0%

9-12FT18-25

75.0%FT%72.0%

24Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists11

8Turnovers10

7Steals7

2Blocks9

21Fouls13

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	32	11-22	3-4	1-2	0	1	1	0	26
Colin Smalls	Guard	34	3-7	1-2	4-4	1	1	1	0	11
Elijah Stephens	Guard	18	3-6	1-2	2-2	2	4	1	0	9
Geoff Sprouse	G	29	3-8	2-5	0-0	2	2	1	0	8
Eric Michaels	F	8	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	2	5
Greg Jones	F	26	1-3	1-1	1-2	4	0	2	0	4
Wyatt Nausadis	G	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Matt Mayock	F	29	0-2	0-1	0-0	6	2	0	0	0
Lincoln Ball	Guard	16	0-2	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	0

Siena

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justice Shoats	G	33	4-12	1-1	9-13	3	6	3	2	18
Peter Carey	Center	29	7-8	0-0	2-4	3	1	2	6	16
Brendan Coyle	F	27	5-7	3-5	3-3	5	1	0	0	16
Major Freeman	G	37	4-6	0-1	2-2	5	2	1	0	10
Marcus Jackson	G	30	2-3	0-0	0-0	7	1	1	1	4
Reid Ducharme	G	13	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Tajae Jones	F	13	1-3	0-0	2-3	3	0	0	0	4
Myles Wilmoth	F	11	1-4	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Gavin Doty	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.3Possessions59.3

111.3Offensive Efficiency124.8

124.8Defensive Efficiency111.3

-13.5Net Efficiency13.5

51.8%Effective FG%59.6%

54.4%True Shooting %62.8%

13.4%Turnover Rate17.0%

21.8%Free Throw Rate53.2%

32.7%3-Point Rate19.1%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Siena won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 59.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.