Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.1%Tarleton State

88.9%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida State -12.2

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -801

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 72

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreFlorida State 84

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricFlorida State

44.6MMH Power Index58.7

103.2Offensive Efficiency111.9

101.6Defensive Efficiency108.5

1.6Net Efficiency3.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule5.7

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

72.2Tempo71.8

49.0%Effective FG%52.4%

19.9%Turnover Rate15.2%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

42.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

1.1Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.7–44.6), offensive efficiency (111.9–103.2), net efficiency (3.4–1.6), strength of schedule (5.7–-2.3).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.6–108.5), offensive rebounding (31.8–30.3), free throw rate (42.8–35.2).

Final

Tarleton State

52—72

Florida State

Florida State by 20 • 72.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATFlorida State

14-45FG22-49

31.0%FG%45.0%

4-153PT4-21

27.0%3PT%19.0%

20-28FT24-38

71.0%FT%63.0%

25Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists11

21Turnovers17

9Steals13

7Blocks6

23Fouls25

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Mpaka	F	40	3-7	0-0	9-14	11	1	2	5	15
Bubu Benjamin	G	39	4-12	0-3	3-4	4	1	2	0	11
Matt Krass	Guard	19	3-8	3-5	2-2	0	1	1	0	11
Nick Krass	G	40	3-9	0-2	4-6	4	0	0	0	10
Izzy Miles	G	20	1-6	1-3	0-0	2	3	2	0	3
Collin Course	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Joseph Martinez	G	19	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	1	0
Roy Marom	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Jordan Mizell	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daquan Davis	G	23	2-7	1-3	4-4	1	3	1	0	9
Justin Thomas	G	22	2-4	0-1	4-6	1	3	2	0	8
Jamir Watkins	Guard	18	1-5	0-4	6-10	4	0	2	0	8
Chandler Jackson	G	18	3-4	1-2	1-2	5	0	2	1	8
Bostyn Holt	Guard	15	3-4	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	8
Jerry Deng	F	20	2-6	1-5	1-4	2	3	1	1	6
Alier Maluk	F	13	2-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	2	1	6
Malique Ewin	F	12	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	0	6
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	19	1-2	0-0	2-6	5	0	1	2	4
Christian Nitu	F	8	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	4
Jason Simpson	Guard	2	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Waka Mbatch	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
AJ Swinton	F	14	0-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Anastasios Rozakeas	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jesse Jones	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jalen Crawford	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.7Possessions72.7

71.5Offensive Efficiency99.0

99.0Defensive Efficiency71.5

-27.5Net Efficiency27.5

35.6%Effective FG%49.0%

44.6%True Shooting %53.7%

29.0%Turnover Rate23.3%

62.2%Free Throw Rate77.6%

33.3%3-Point Rate42.9%

0.48Assist / Turnover0.65

Game Summary

Florida State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 72.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.