Saint Francis

7-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.1%Saint Francis

82.9%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPenn State -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.5

MODEL MONEYLINEPenn State -485

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 72

Projected Total155.5

Projected ScorePenn State 83

Team Comparison

Saint FrancisMetricPenn State

32.7MMH Power Index42.3

101.2Offensive Efficiency109.2

114.7Defensive Efficiency117.6

-13.5Net Efficiency-8.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule5.3

-10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

70.6Tempo67.5

49.8%Effective FG%53.4%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

31.2%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-9.5Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Penn State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPenn State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.3–32.7), offensive efficiency (109.2–101.2), net efficiency (-8.4–-13.5), strength of schedule (5.3–-2.3).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (114.7–117.6), recent form (-10.5–-20.8), offensive rebounding (28.4–25.6).

Final

Saint Francis

62—92

Penn State

Penn State by 30 • 80.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint FrancisTEAM STATPenn State

22-59FG34-69

37.0%FG%49.0%

9-313PT9-27

29.0%3PT%33.0%

9-17FT15-20

53.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists19

24Turnovers15

10Steals17

4Blocks3

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	33	4-11	1-3	5-6	5	2	0	0	14
Valentino Pinedo	F	34	5-8	0-0	1-4	12	2	2	2	11
Daemar Kelly	G	28	4-9	1-5	1-1	3	0	1	0	10
Jeremy Clayville	G	35	3-12	3-9	0-0	8	2	3	0	9
Ace Talbert	G	27	3-11	2-10	0-4	1	2	2	0	8
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	11	2-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	2	0	5
Riley Parker	G	20	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	2	3
Miles Webb	F	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Aidan Harris	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chris Moncrief	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Victor Payne	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Puff Johnson	G	26	7-8	3-4	3-5	3	0	4	0	20
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	34	5-14	2-7	4-4	2	6	3	0	16
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	20	3-4	0-0	5-5	7	2	0	1	11
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	15	4-6	1-2	1-1	3	0	0	0	10
Zach Hicks	Forward	30	3-8	2-7	1-2	5	2	2	1	9
Dominick Stewart	G	14	3-4	1-1	1-2	6	1	2	0	8
Kachi Nzeh	F	10	3-8	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	6
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	22	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	4	3	1	4
Freddie Dilione V	G	12	2-7	0-2	0-1	3	2	2	0	4
Jahvin Carter	G	10	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	4
Eli Rice	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.8Possessions80.8

76.7Offensive Efficiency113.9

113.9Defensive Efficiency76.7

-37.1Net Efficiency37.1

44.9%Effective FG%55.8%

46.2%True Shooting %58.6%

30.0%Turnover Rate18.4%

28.8%Free Throw Rate29.0%

52.5%3-Point Rate39.1%

0.42Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Penn State won by 30 points. The game played at approximately 80.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.