Cleveland State

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.9%Cleveland State

87.1%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -13.5

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -675

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCleveland State 72

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreValparaiso 85

Team Comparison

Cleveland StateMetricValparaiso

37.3MMH Power Index49.9

111.6Offensive Efficiency106.6

120.2Defensive Efficiency105.8

-8.6Net Efficiency0.8

-1.7Strength of Schedule0.3

-14.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

71.5Tempo67.5

55.0%Effective FG%48.7%

18.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

38.7%Free Throw Rate40.0%

-6.2Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–37.3), defensive efficiency (105.8–120.2), net efficiency (0.8–-8.6), strength of schedule (0.3–-1.7).

Cleveland State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.6–106.6), shooting efficiency (55.0–48.7).

Final

Cleveland State

75—67

Valparaiso

Cleveland State by 8 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cleveland StateTEAM STATValparaiso

30-58FG22-54

52.0%FG%41.0%

5-143PT4-19

36.0%3PT%21.0%

10-13FT19-24

77.0%FT%79.0%

33Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists8

15Turnovers14

7Steals7

6Blocks2

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Cleveland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Arnett	F	37	9-12	0-0	1-2	14	2	0	3	19
Tahj Staveskie	G	33	6-13	3-5	4-4	1	6	0	0	19
Tevin Smith	Guard	34	6-11	0-2	3-5	0	1	2	2	15
Chase Robinson	Guard	24	2-7	2-5	2-2	2	2	2	0	8
Cole Franklin	G	22	4-6	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	8
Je'Shawn Stevenson	G	21	3-7	0-1	0-0	3	2	2	0	6
Reece Robinson	F	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	0
Ebrima Dibba	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
KJ Debrick	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Abidde	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devon Ellis	F	32	5-12	1-1	8-11	5	1	1	1	19
Cooper Schwieger	F	35	6-20	0-8	2-2	8	1	0	0	14
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	31	4-7	1-3	3-4	0	0	1	0	12
All Wright	G	21	4-5	2-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	10
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	30	1-3	0-1	2-2	4	3	3	0	4
Louth-M Coulibaly	Forward	6	1-2	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	4
Isaiah Shaw	G	23	1-4	0-3	0-1	1	0	1	0	2
Tyler Schmidt	G	12	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	1	1	0	2
Kaspar Sepp	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Justus McNair	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

109.8Offensive Efficiency98.1

98.1Defensive Efficiency109.8

11.7Net Efficiency-11.7

56.0%Effective FG%44.4%

58.4%True Shooting %51.2%

21.7%Turnover Rate20.8%

22.4%Free Throw Rate44.4%

24.1%3-Point Rate35.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

Cleveland State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.