Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.0%Ohio

77.0%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -335

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 71

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreIllinois State 81

Team Comparison

OhioMetricIllinois State

48MMH Power Index54.3

109.7Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.7Defensive Efficiency101.4

-1.0Net Efficiency9.2

-0.1Strength of Schedule1.0

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

71.0Tempo67.5

52.0%Effective FG%54.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.8%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

37.8%Free Throw Rate32.0%

-0.7Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–48.0), offensive efficiency (110.6–109.7), defensive efficiency (101.4–110.7), net efficiency (9.2–-1.0).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-1.0–-4.4), ball security (15.3–16.8), offensive rebounding (28.9–28.3).

Final

Ohio

75—85

Illinois State

Illinois State by 10 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATIllinois State

26-55FG30-49

47.0%FG%61.0%

10-253PT10-19

40.0%3PT%53.0%

13-16FT15-16

81.0%FT%94.0%

23Rebounds28

8Offensive Rebounds5

8Assists14

10Turnovers12

4Steals5

5Blocks2

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Brown	G	35	6-13	4-8	4-4	4	1	1	1	20
AJ Clayton	Forward	28	4-8	2-5	2-3	5	0	0	3	12
Elmore James IV	G	23	3-8	0-2	6-6	4	1	0	0	12
Aidan Hadaway	F	33	5-6	1-2	0-0	4	1	2	1	11
Vic Searls	Forward	19	4-9	0-1	0-2	2	2	0	0	8
Ajay Sheldon	G	26	2-6	2-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Jackson Paveletzke	G	23	1-3	1-1	1-1	0	2	0	0	4
Elijah Elliott	G	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dalton Banks	Guard	34	8-14	1-1	6-6	5	2	1	0	23
Caden Boser	Forward	17	6-6	4-4	0-0	3	0	1	1	16
Chase Walker	F	22	4-5	0-0	5-6	3	0	1	0	13
Johnny Kinziger	G	35	3-7	2-4	2-2	3	7	0	0	10
Ty Pence	G	24	3-5	2-4	2-2	2	2	0	0	10
Landon Wolf	G	17	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	24	2-6	0-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	4
Jordan Davis	Guard	25	1-2	1-2	0-0	5	2	0	1	3
Jack Daugherty	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

117.0Offensive Efficiency132.6

132.6Defensive Efficiency117.0

-15.6Net Efficiency15.6

56.4%Effective FG%71.4%

59.9%True Shooting %75.1%

15.5%Turnover Rate18.9%

29.1%Free Throw Rate32.7%

45.5%3-Point Rate38.8%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.