UC Riverside

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.2%UC Riverside

91.8%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -16.7

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -1120

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 65

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 81

Team Comparison

UC RiversideMetricCalifornia Baptist

41.2MMH Power Index58.3

103.1Offensive Efficiency106.5

110.1Defensive Efficiency99.0

-7.0Net Efficiency7.5

0.5Strength of Schedule1.8

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

70.7Tempo68.2

49.8%Effective FG%48.8%

18.5%Turnover Rate17.9%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

35.2%Free Throw Rate37.0%

-4.9Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–41.2), offensive efficiency (106.5–103.1), defensive efficiency (99.0–110.1), net efficiency (7.5–-7.0).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (49.8–48.8).

Final

UC Riverside

70—69

California Baptist

UC Riverside by 1 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC RiversideTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

27-61FG24-60

44.0%FG%40.0%

3-133PT7-21

23.0%3PT%33.0%

13-23FT14-15

57.0%FT%93.0%

38Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists10

6Turnovers10

6Steals3

3Blocks4

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Barrington Hargress	G	31	9-17	2-3	5-8	3	3	1	0	25
Jack Whitbourn	C	19	5-8	0-0	2-4	13	0	0	1	12
Isaiah Moses	G	33	4-11	1-5	1-2	1	5	1	0	10
Joel Armotrading	C	21	5-8	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	1	10
Rikus Schulte	F	15	2-4	0-1	2-2	4	0	1	0	6
Nate Pickens	G	23	1-5	0-0	2-4	3	2	1	0	4
Parker Strauss	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Kaleb Smith	F	24	0-6	0-3	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Niyi Olabode	Guard	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Gavin Davis	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
Luke Turner	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	34	4-12	3-6	9-10	1	2	0	0	20
Martel Williams	G	31	4-11	0-3	2-2	3	1	0	0	10
Kendal Coleman	Forward	29	5-11	0-2	0-0	10	0	0	2	10
AJ Braun	Forward	20	4-7	1-1	1-1	10	2	0	0	10
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	21	3-5	3-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	9
Sam Silverstein	G	21	2-5	0-2	0-0	3	4	0	1	4
Tylen Riley	G	15	1-5	0-2	2-2	0	0	1	1	4
Bradey Henige	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Javonte Johnson	Guard	20	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

105.3Offensive Efficiency103.8

103.8Defensive Efficiency105.3

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

46.7%Effective FG%45.8%

48.7%True Shooting %51.4%

9.1%Turnover Rate14.9%

37.7%Free Throw Rate25.0%

21.3%3-Point Rate35.0%

1.83Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UC Riverside won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.