Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.7%Portland State

34.3%San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -192

San Diego

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 78

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreSan Diego 74

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricSan Diego

50.2MMH Power Index39.8

109.3Offensive Efficiency106.2

100.2Defensive Efficiency111.1

9.1Net Efficiency-4.9

-5.6Strength of Schedule-1.2

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.2

70.1Tempo70.1

51.7%Effective FG%52.0%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.8%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

36.8%Free Throw Rate26.3%

6.4Average Margin-3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–39.8), offensive efficiency (109.3–106.2), defensive efficiency (100.2–111.1), net efficiency (9.1–-4.9).

San Diego COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-5.6), shooting efficiency (52.0–51.7).

Final

Portland State

85—76

San Diego

Portland State by 9 • 86.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATSan Diego

31-60FG25-60

52.0%FG%42.0%

8-173PT2-13

47.0%3PT%15.0%

15-25FT24-34

60.0%FT%71.0%

37Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists12

24Turnovers21

10Steals10

5Blocks7

29Fouls22

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Henderson	G	31	8-17	2-5	5-9	6	0	1	0	23
Terri Miller Jr.	F	20	5-10	1-1	4-6	6	2	4	0	15
Shane Nowell	Guard	18	4-6	2-2	1-3	3	0	1	2	11
Hayden Curtiss	Center	16	5-7	1-3	0-0	6	0	1	0	11
Qiant Myers	Guard	29	3-6	1-2	2-3	2	5	1	1	9
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	26	3-3	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	2	6
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	16	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Ismail Habib	G	28	0-5	0-3	3-4	0	1	1	0	3
Cole Farrell	G	11	1-3	1-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Isaac Brice	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kelcy Phipps	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	27	6-12	1-1	7-10	5	3	1	0	20
Kody Clouet	G	32	2-11	0-5	9-10	4	1	3	1	13
Steven Jamerson II	F	31	6-6	0-0	1-2	9	0	1	2	13
Dragos Lungu	G	22	5-9	0-1	2-3	0	1	0	1	12
Kjay Bradley Jr.	G	25	2-6	0-2	3-4	2	2	2	0	7
Deven Dahlke	Guard	8	2-3	1-2	1-2	0	1	1	0	6
Gavin Ripp	F	15	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	1	2
Chas Lewless	G	9	1-3	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Santiago Trouet	F	18	0-2	0-0	1-2	6	1	1	1	1
David Simon	F	6	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Joey Chammaa	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kean Webb	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

86.6Possessions86.6

98.2Offensive Efficiency87.8

87.8Defensive Efficiency98.2

10.4Net Efficiency-10.4

58.3%Effective FG%43.3%

59.1%True Shooting %49.9%

27.6%Turnover Rate24.4%

41.7%Free Throw Rate56.7%

28.3%3-Point Rate21.7%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

Portland State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 86.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.