Wright State

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.2%Wright State

66.8%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.3

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -201

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWright State 77

Projected Total159.3

Projected ScoreToledo 82

Team Comparison

Wright StateMetricToledo

57.1MMH Power Index58.8

116.4Offensive Efficiency116.0

106.5Defensive Efficiency109.6

9.9Net Efficiency6.4

-2.0Strength of Schedule2.3

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

69.2Tempo69.8

55.2%Effective FG%55.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.6%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

38.3%Free Throw Rate30.3%

6.8Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wright State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWright State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (116.4–116.0), defensive efficiency (106.5–109.6), net efficiency (9.9–6.4), shooting efficiency (55.2–55.1).

Toledo COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (58.8–57.1), strength of schedule (2.3–-2.0), recent form (10.2–7.0).

Final

Wright State

77—86

Toledo

Toledo by 9 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wright StateTEAM STATToledo

33-69FG32-57

48.0%FG%56.0%

4-163PT6-13

25.0%3PT%46.0%

7-11FT16-23

64.0%FT%70.0%

33Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists18

7Turnovers10

8Steals3

3Blocks9

24Fouls15

Player Box Score

Wright State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Noel	F	28	11-16	0-2	2-3	10	1	1	1	24
Alex Huibregtse	G	33	7-14	2-6	0-1	6	2	0	0	16
Jack Doumbia Jr.	F	26	3-8	0-0	3-4	4	2	5	1	9
Logan Woods	G	26	4-10	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	8
Keaton Norris	G	26	3-6	2-4	0-0	0	2	1	0	8
Michael Imariagbe	F	20	4-7	0-0	0-1	6	2	0	1	8
Andrew Welage	Guard	20	1-3	0-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Drey Carter	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Solomon Callaghan	G	9	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ayden Davis	C	2	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	32	7-9	1-2	5-7	8	3	0	0	20
Isaiah Adams	Guard	35	8-13	2-3	0-0	5	1	3	1	18
Seth Hubbard	G	26	5-10	1-3	4-5	4	2	0	2	15
Javan Simmons	F	32	5-10	0-0	2-5	4	6	0	1	12
Sam Lewis	G	31	4-10	1-3	1-2	5	4	0	0	10
Bryce Ford	G	8	1-3	1-2	4-4	2	0	0	1	7
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	18	1-1	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	2
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	4	2
Tyler Ode	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

106.8Offensive Efficiency119.3

119.3Defensive Efficiency106.8

-12.5Net Efficiency12.5

50.7%Effective FG%61.4%

51.9%True Shooting %63.3%

9.7%Turnover Rate13.9%

15.9%Free Throw Rate40.4%

23.2%3-Point Rate22.8%

1.43Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Toledo won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.