Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.0%Ball State

93.0%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -16.6

PROJECTED TOTAL139.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -1329

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 62

Projected Total139.8

Projected ScoreDayton 78

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricDayton

41.3MMH Power Index59.9

101.7Offensive Efficiency108.5

104.7Defensive Efficiency101.5

-3.0Net Efficiency7.0

-3.9Strength of Schedule5.7

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

66.4Tempo68.3

48.3%Effective FG%52.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.9%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

33.0%Free Throw Rate47.6%

-2.0Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–41.3), offensive efficiency (108.5–101.7), defensive efficiency (101.5–104.7), net efficiency (7.0–-3.0).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHball security (16.0–16.9).

Final

Ball State

69—77

Dayton

Dayton by 8 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATDayton

20-52FG26-53

38.0%FG%49.0%

8-183PT4-19

44.0%3PT%21.0%

21-24FT21-29

88.0%FT%72.0%

31Rebounds35

5Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists17

15Turnovers8

5Steals10

1Blocks2

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fatt Hill	G	36	7-16	0-2	11-13	7	3	0	0	25
Ethan Brittain-Watts	Guard	29	6-10	4-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	16
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	32	4-11	3-6	0-0	4	2	1	0	11
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	22	2-7	1-3	2-3	3	1	2	0	7
Payton Sparks	Center	17	0-1	0-0	4-4	0	0	0	0	4
TJ Burch	G	11	1-6	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Ben Hendriks	Center	23	0-0	0-0	2-2	6	0	1	1	2
Mason Jones	F	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Joey Hart	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Juanse Gorosito	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	32	9-15	2-5	3-3	12	0	3	1	23
Malachi Smith	G	31	5-6	2-2	5-6	6	10	3	0	17
Zed Key	Forward	16	4-5	0-0	5-6	4	0	0	1	13
Isaac Jack	F	14	5-5	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	11
Nate Santos	Forward	35	0-5	0-3	4-8	4	3	1	0	4
Jacob Conner	F	15	0-0	0-0	3-4	3	1	0	0	3
Javon Bennett	G	22	1-7	0-4	0-0	1	0	2	0	2
Posh Alexander	Guard	22	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	3	1	0	2
Amaël L'Etang	F	10	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Hamad Mousa	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

97.7Offensive Efficiency109.1

109.1Defensive Efficiency97.7

-11.3Net Efficiency11.3

46.2%Effective FG%52.8%

54.4%True Shooting %57.7%

20.4%Turnover Rate11.8%

46.2%Free Throw Rate54.7%

34.6%3-Point Rate35.8%

0.67Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

Dayton won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.