Oakland

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.0%Oakland

96.0%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -21.5

PROJECTED TOTAL162.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -2400

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOakland 70

Projected Total162.1

Projected ScoreIllinois 92

Team Comparison

OaklandMetricIllinois

52.6MMH Power Index76.5

115.7Offensive Efficiency125.0

114.5Defensive Efficiency103.3

1.2Net Efficiency21.7

2.1Strength of Schedule6.7

-1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

71.4Tempo66.5

53.3%Effective FG%54.8%

14.7%Turnover Rate13.1%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

38.5%Free Throw Rate33.8%

0.9Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–52.6), offensive efficiency (125.0–115.7), defensive efficiency (103.3–114.5), net efficiency (21.7–1.2).

Oakland COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (38.5–33.8).

Final

Oakland

54—66

Illinois

Illinois by 12 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OaklandTEAM STATIllinois

20-53FG23-55

38.0%FG%42.0%

4-253PT7-25

16.0%3PT%28.0%

10-11FT13-17

91.0%FT%76.0%

27Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists11

18Turnovers18

10Steals9

1Blocks2

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

Oakland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayson Woodrich	Guard	32	4-15	1-9	2-2	4	2	2	0	11
DQ Cole	Guard	36	3-8	2-7	2-2	2	0	4	0	10
Allen Mukeba	F	32	4-9	0-1	0-1	6	2	1	0	8
Tuburu Naivalurua	F	30	4-9	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	1	8
Malcolm Christie	G	20	1-5	1-5	4-4	2	0	1	0	7
Cooper Craggs	Forward	25	2-5	0-2	2-2	3	0	1	0	6
Jaylen Jones	G	25	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	4	1	0	4

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tomislav Ivisic	C	32	9-14	0-2	2-2	6	0	4	0	20
Ben Humrichous	F	36	3-9	2-7	2-3	6	1	0	1	10
Kylan Boswell	G	35	2-8	2-6	2-2	2	2	1	0	8
Will Riley	Forward	28	2-8	1-2	3-5	4	2	0	1	8
Tre White	G	14	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	3	1	0	7
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	12	3-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	2	0	7
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	31	0-3	0-3	4-4	6	3	1	0	4
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	8	1-3	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	2
Carey Booth	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

78.6Offensive Efficiency96.1

96.1Defensive Efficiency78.6

-17.5Net Efficiency17.5

41.5%Effective FG%48.2%

46.4%True Shooting %52.3%

26.4%Turnover Rate26.1%

20.8%Free Throw Rate30.9%

47.2%3-Point Rate45.5%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.61

Game Summary

Illinois won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.