North Dakota State logo

North Dakota State

27-8
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
23.7%North Dakota State
76.3%Santa Clara
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADSanta Clara -7.9
PROJECTED TOTAL155.9
MODEL MONEYLINESanta Clara -322
Santa Clara logo

Santa Clara

26-9
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 74
Projected Total155.9
Projected ScoreSanta Clara 82

Team Comparison

59MMH Power Index64.9
115.4Offensive Efficiency118.7
100.8Defensive Efficiency104.4
14.6Net Efficiency14.3
-4.6Strength of Schedule4.0
14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency4.1
69.6Tempo69.8
54.5%Effective FG%54.8%
15.5%Turnover Rate15.3%
32.0%Offensive Rebound %35.9%
31.3%Free Throw Rate25.3%
10.1Average Margin10.0
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Santa Clara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.3%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
6–5
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSanta Clara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.9–59.0), offensive efficiency (118.7–115.4), strength of schedule (4.0–-4.6), shooting efficiency (54.8–54.5).
North Dakota State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.8–104.4), net efficiency (14.6–14.3), recent form (14.3–4.1).
Final
North Dakota State logo
North Dakota State
88—80
Santa Clara logo
Santa Clara
North Dakota State by 8 • 76.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATSanta Clara
27-57FG31-75
47.0%FG%41.0%
15-323PT8-37
47.0%3PT%22.0%
19-24FT10-16
79.0%FT%63.0%
41Rebounds40
6Offensive Rebounds14
19Assists11
15Turnovers7
4Steals9
3Blocks4
16Fouls18

Player Box Score

North Dakota State
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Jacari WhiteG326-134-103-365210019
Jacksen MoniForward286-123-44-571010019
Brennan WatkinsG375-62-32-244000014
Masen MillerGuard354-63-50-011000011
Tajavis MillerG201-71-56-85310009
Noah FeddersenF273-70-20-18311006
Luke KasubkeGuard101-31-22-31000005
Jeremiah BurkeF131-31-10-01100003
Treyson AndersonF40-00-02-21000002
Darik DissetteGuard110-00-00-04000000
Andy StefonowiczG80-00-00-02100000
Santa Clara
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Adama-Alpha BalGuard388-182-90-123000018
Elijah MahiF206-81-13-441000016
Tyeree BryanG356-123-90-161100015
Johnny O'NeilForward352-71-55-5142220010
Christoph TillyC274-80-32-311200010
Camaron TongueForward183-70-00-26012006
Carlos Stewart Jr.Guard322-111-70-04220005
Jake EnsmingerG100-10-10-02100000
Brenton KnapperG100-30-20-00010000

Advanced Game Stats

76.5Possessions76.5
115.0Offensive Efficiency104.6
104.6Defensive Efficiency115.0
10.5Net Efficiency-10.5
60.5%Effective FG%46.7%
64.3%True Shooting %48.4%
19.4%Turnover Rate9.3%
42.1%Free Throw Rate21.3%
56.1%3-Point Rate49.3%
1.27Assist / Turnover1.57
Game Summary
North Dakota State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 76.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.