UT Arlington

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.0%UT Arlington

59.0%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUSC -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUSC -144

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 72

Projected Total147.5

Projected ScoreUSC 75

Team Comparison

UT ArlingtonMetricUSC

49.6MMH Power Index48.3

102.7Offensive Efficiency108.5

97.9Defensive Efficiency107.6

4.8Net Efficiency0.9

-0.8Strength of Schedule2.5

-3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

68.1Tempo72.4

48.5%Effective FG%50.7%

20.4%Turnover Rate17.2%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

43.7%Free Throw Rate45.3%

3.3Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Arlington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Arlington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–48.3), defensive efficiency (97.9–107.6), net efficiency (4.8–0.9), recent form (-3.9–-16.0).

USC COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.5–102.7), strength of schedule (2.5–-0.8), shooting efficiency (50.7–48.5).

Final

UT Arlington

95—98

USC

USC by 3 • 79.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UT ArlingtonTEAM STATUSC

30-53FG35-63

57.0%FG%56.0%

16-243PT6-18

67.0%3PT%33.0%

19-23FT22-27

83.0%FT%81.0%

27Rebounds23

3Offensive Rebounds3

24Assists22

16Turnovers10

5Steals6

—Blocks3

26Fouls21

Player Box Score

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jaden Wells	Guard	37	9-16	7-10	2-2	5	5	4	27
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	29	6-8	4-5	3-3	3	2	1	19
Raysean Seamster	F	25	7-11	0-1	1-2	2	2	0	15
Kade Douglas	G	28	3-3	2-2	4-4	4	8	0	12
Brody Robinson	G	19	2-5	2-2	4-4	1	2	0	10
Darius Burford	Guard	26	2-4	0-0	5-6	7	0	0	9
Brandyn Talbot	Guard	21	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	3	0	3
Diante Smith	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0
Troy Hupstead	F	6	0-2	0-1	0-2	0	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Desmond Claude	G	37	9-12	0-0	8-9	5	8	1	0	26
Josh Cohen	Forward	21	8-10	0-1	3-4	1	1	1	0	19
Terrance Williams II	F	33	7-10	2-4	2-2	3	3	0	0	18
Wesley Yates III	G	21	6-9	1-3	1-1	0	2	1	0	14
Saint Thomas	Forward	37	2-8	1-4	3-5	7	7	2	1	8
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	14	2-4	1-1	2-2	2	1	1	1	7
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	25	1-7	1-5	3-4	3	0	0	1	6
Clark Slajchert	Guard	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Rashaun Agee	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Elohim	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jalen Shelley	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.9Possessions79.9

118.9Offensive Efficiency122.7

122.7Defensive Efficiency118.9

-3.8Net Efficiency3.8

71.7%Effective FG%60.3%

74.3%True Shooting %64.6%

20.8%Turnover Rate12.1%

43.4%Free Throw Rate42.9%

45.3%3-Point Rate28.6%

1.50Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

USC won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 79.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.