William & Mary

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.5%William & Mary

68.5%Winthrop

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWinthrop -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL164.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWinthrop -217

Winthrop

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWilliam & Mary 79

Projected Total164.5

Projected ScoreWinthrop 85

Team Comparison

William & MaryMetricWinthrop

53.8MMH Power Index56.2

112.5Offensive Efficiency115.6

105.2Defensive Efficiency104.3

7.3Net Efficiency11.3

-1.5Strength of Schedule-3.6

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.8

73.9Tempo72.4

55.3%Effective FG%51.2%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

45.3%Free Throw Rate44.4%

5.4Average Margin8.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Winthrop HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWinthrop holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.2–53.8), offensive efficiency (115.6–112.5), defensive efficiency (104.3–105.2), net efficiency (11.3–7.3).

William & Mary COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.5–-3.6), recent form (3.5–2.8), shooting efficiency (55.3–51.2).

Final

William & Mary

85—86

Winthrop

Winthrop by 1 • 79.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

William & MaryTEAM STATWinthrop

24-55FG29-65

44.0%FG%45.0%

14-313PT8-24

45.0%3PT%33.0%

23-30FT20-31

77.0%FT%65.0%

40Rebounds35

12Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists10

22Turnovers11

5Steals14

3Blocks4

25Fouls24

Player Box Score

William & Mary

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gabe Dorsey	Guard	30	5-14	5-10	4-4	3	1	0	0	19
Kyle Frazier	G	25	4-6	3-5	2-4	2	2	2	0	13
Keller Boothby	Forward	25	4-7	3-5	0-0	4	2	1	0	11
Malachi Ndur	Forward	17	2-3	0-1	6-7	5	2	0	0	10
Kyle Pulliam	G	24	3-7	1-3	1-2	6	2	0	0	8
Matteus Case	Guard	19	1-3	1-3	4-4	4	1	1	0	7
Chase Lowe	G	19	1-5	0-0	3-6	3	1	0	0	5
Isaiah Mbeng	G	5	1-2	1-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Finn Lally	F	15	2-6	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	3	4
Noah Collier	F	11	1-1	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	0	3
Miles Hicks	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	3	1	0	0

Winthrop

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Johnson	Not Available	27	4-9	3-7	6-6	1	0	3	0	17
Bryce Baker	G	31	6-11	4-9	0-0	6	1	1	0	16
Kasen Harrison	Not Available	32	5-13	0-1	5-6	3	3	3	0	15
Kelton Talford	Not Available	29	5-9	0-0	4-9	6	1	0	2	14
K.J. Doucet	Forward	9	4-4	1-1	2-4	3	0	0	0	11
Tommy Kamarad	F	20	2-5	0-3	0-0	6	1	2	0	4
Ryan Jolly	Guard	15	1-3	0-0	1-2	0	1	2	0	3
Yoro Diallo	Forward	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	3	1	2
Tai Hamilton	F	7	0-1	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	1	2
Logan Duncomb	C	4	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Paul Jones III	G	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Wilson	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.0Possessions79.0

107.6Offensive Efficiency108.9

108.9Defensive Efficiency107.6

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

56.4%Effective FG%50.8%

61.4%True Shooting %53.9%

27.8%Turnover Rate14.0%

54.5%Free Throw Rate47.7%

56.4%3-Point Rate36.9%

0.68Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

Winthrop won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 79.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.