Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.4%Virginia

36.6%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -173

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 77

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScoreVillanova 74

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricVillanova

68.9MMH Power Index59.4

119.0Offensive Efficiency114.7

101.8Defensive Efficiency105.9

17.2Net Efficiency8.8

5.2Strength of Schedule4.4

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

67.6Tempo67.3

55.0%Effective FG%53.9%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

33.2%Free Throw Rate31.4%

11.6Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–59.4), offensive efficiency (119.0–114.7), defensive efficiency (101.8–105.9), net efficiency (17.2–8.8).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHball security (15.0–16.0).

Final

Virginia

70—60

Villanova

Virginia by 10 • 62.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATVillanova

25-49FG19-54

51.0%FG%35.0%

14-253PT9-32

56.0%3PT%28.0%

6-9FT13-17

67.0%FT%76.0%

27Rebounds34

3Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists8

12Turnovers13

6Steals8

1Blocks—

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac McKneely	G	36	8-9	6-6	1-1	2	2	1	0	23
Andrew Rohde	G	27	5-8	3-5	0-1	3	4	1	0	13
Jacob Cofie	F	26	4-10	2-7	2-2	6	2	1	1	12
Dai Dai Ames	G	36	3-8	1-3	1-1	2	1	1	0	8
Elijah Saunders	F	32	2-7	1-2	0-0	6	2	0	0	5
TJ Power	F	15	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Blake Buchanan	F	18	1-4	0-0	1-2	5	2	1	0	3
Ishan Sharma	F	10	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	1	0	1

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	35	6-12	3-6	5-5	8	2	1	20
Jordan Longino	Guard	31	4-12	2-7	0-0	2	1	3	10
Tyler Perkins	G	21	3-7	2-5	0-0	2	0	0	8
Jhamir Brickus	Guard	29	2-5	1-3	2-2	1	3	2	7
Wooga Poplar	Guard	27	2-12	1-8	2-4	6	2	0	7
Enoch Boakye	Forward	24	1-2	0-0	4-6	8	0	1	6
Kris Parker	G	13	1-4	0-3	0-0	3	0	1	2
Nnanna Njoku	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Josiah Moseley	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jordann Dumont	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.7Possessions62.7

111.6Offensive Efficiency95.7

95.7Defensive Efficiency111.6

15.9Net Efficiency-15.9

65.3%Effective FG%43.5%

65.7%True Shooting %48.3%

19.3%Turnover Rate20.6%

18.4%Free Throw Rate31.5%

51.0%3-Point Rate59.3%

1.17Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

Virginia won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 62.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.