Elon

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.2%Elon

16.8%Gardner-Webb

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADElon -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINEElon -495

Gardner-Webb

4-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreElon 85

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreGardner-Webb 73

Team Comparison

ElonMetricGardner-Webb

45.5MMH Power Index26.6

113.0Offensive Efficiency96.0

112.7Defensive Efficiency120.4

0.3Net Efficiency-24.4

-1.4Strength of Schedule3.3

-13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.2

69.1Tempo71.0

52.6%Effective FG%48.8%

15.6%Turnover Rate19.2%

33.4%Offensive Rebound %23.6%

34.0%Free Throw Rate31.5%

0.3Average Margin-17.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Elon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMElon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–26.6), offensive efficiency (113.0–96.0), defensive efficiency (112.7–120.4), net efficiency (0.3–-24.4).

Gardner-Webb COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.3–-1.4).

Final

Elon

79—80

Gardner-Webb

Gardner-Webb by 1 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ElonTEAM STATGardner-Webb

26-55FG26-59

47.0%FG%44.0%

8-233PT10-23

35.0%3PT%43.0%

19-27FT18-22

70.0%FT%82.0%

33Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists16

11Turnovers10

4Steals5

3Blocks8

16Fouls20

Player Box Score

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Dorn	G	33	4-10	2-5	7-9	6	2	0	0	17
Takai Simpkins	G	32	5-11	0-4	7-9	3	2	2	0	17
Tajuan Simpkins	G	23	5-9	2-4	1-2	4	0	0	1	13
Sam Sherry	Forward	33	5-11	1-3	1-4	3	4	0	1	12
Isaac Harrell	F	33	4-8	2-4	2-2	5	0	0	0	12
Brayden Crump	F	11	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	1	0	3
Jameel Rideout	Guard	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Drew King	G	21	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	5	0	0	2
Kendall Campbell	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Gardner-Webb

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darryl Simmons II	G	29	4-7	4-6	3-4	5	2	2	0	15
Pharrell Boyogueno	G	27	5-8	2-5	2-2	2	0	0	1	14
Anthony Selden	Guard	30	3-12	1-6	6-7	6	5	0	3	13
Shahar Lazar	Guard	19	3-4	2-3	2-2	0	2	0	0	10
Isaiah Richards	Forward	22	3-6	0-1	2-4	7	0	0	3	8
Colin Hawkins	G	19	2-6	1-1	3-3	2	2	1	0	8
Jamaine Mann	Guard	19	3-6	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	1	6
Ademide Badmus	Forward	18	3-7	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	6
Brendan Mykalcio	Guard	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Jacob Hudson	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

119.3Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency119.3

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

54.5%Effective FG%52.5%

58.2%True Shooting %57.6%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.3%

49.1%Free Throw Rate37.3%

41.8%3-Point Rate39.0%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Gardner-Webb won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.