Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

97.8%Belmont

2.2%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -25.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -4445

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 88

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreAir Force 63

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricAir Force

61.8MMH Power Index23

118.6Offensive Efficiency91.3

103.7Defensive Efficiency118.5

14.9Net Efficiency-27.2

-0.2Strength of Schedule6.2

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

70.7Tempo67.4

60.7%Effective FG%49.0%

17.8%Turnover Rate21.9%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

32.7%Free Throw Rate35.9%

10.5Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–23.0), offensive efficiency (118.6–91.3), defensive efficiency (103.7–118.5), net efficiency (14.9–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–-0.2), free throw rate (35.9–32.7).

Final

Belmont

79—71

Air Force

Belmont by 8 • 64.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATAir Force

24-55FG25-54

44.0%FG%46.0%

13-313PT7-25

42.0%3PT%28.0%

18-24FT14-22

75.0%FT%64.0%

36Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds9

18Assists22

8Turnovers10

2Steals4

2Blocks1

23Fouls21

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carter Whitt	Guard	29	5-11	3-5	3-4	5	3	1	0	16
Sam Orme	F	23	5-9	3-5	0-0	8	3	0	1	13
Isaiah Walker	G	31	2-8	0-2	7-8	7	6	1	1	11
Brody Peebles	Guard	28	4-13	3-10	0-0	1	1	0	0	11
Tyler Lundblade	G	18	2-4	2-4	4-5	3	2	0	0	10
Jonathan Pierre	Forward	10	3-5	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Brigham Rogers	F	22	1-1	0-0	4-7	4	1	0	0	6
Aidan Noyes	F	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jake Dykstra	G	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Win Miller	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Drew Scharnowski	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Walker	F	22	5-6	0-0	7-9	6	1	0	0	17
Ethan Taylor	Guard	40	5-13	2-10	3-4	10	7	1	0	15
Sam Duskin	Guard	29	5-12	3-9	0-0	3	2	2	0	13
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	32	5-10	1-2	1-2	4	6	0	0	12
Wesley Celichowski	C	18	3-7	1-3	1-2	1	3	0	0	8
Byron Brown	Guard	30	0-1	0-0	2-5	2	2	1	0	2
Kyle Marshall	G	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Luke Kearney	F	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.0Possessions64.0

123.4Offensive Efficiency110.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency123.4

12.5Net Efficiency-12.5

55.5%Effective FG%52.8%

59.5%True Shooting %55.1%

12.8%Turnover Rate15.3%

43.6%Free Throw Rate40.7%

56.4%3-Point Rate46.3%

2.25Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

Belmont won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.