North Carolina Central

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.0%North Carolina Central

88.0%Georgia Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia Southern -12.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.8

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgia Southern -733

Georgia Southern

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 72

Projected Total156.8

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 85

Team Comparison

North Carolina CentralMetricGeorgia Southern

35.8MMH Power Index49.1

104.9Offensive Efficiency112.3

110.2Defensive Efficiency110.6

-5.3Net Efficiency1.7

-8.0Strength of Schedule-2.2

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.7

68.5Tempo72.0

49.8%Effective FG%52.1%

17.7%Turnover Rate14.5%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

39.7%Free Throw Rate39.5%

-3.6Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Georgia Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGeorgia Southern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.1–35.8), offensive efficiency (112.3–104.9), net efficiency (1.7–-5.3), strength of schedule (-2.2–-8.0).

North Carolina Central COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.2–110.6), offensive rebounding (30.9–28.6), free throw rate (39.7–39.5).

Final

North Carolina Central

75—80

Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern by 5 • 76.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Carolina CentralTEAM STATGeorgia Southern

25-60FG31-62

42.0%FG%50.0%

5-243PT7-29

21.0%3PT%24.0%

20-29FT11-19

69.0%FT%58.0%

34Rebounds41

15Offensive Rebounds16

12Assists11

18Turnovers21

10Steals9

—Blocks1

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Perry Smith Jr.	C	38	10-15	0-1	1-2	7	0	2	21
Po'Boigh King	G	32	6-15	2-8	3-4	3	4	1	17
Keishon Porter	G	25	6-11	1-3	2-4	4	0	2	15
Floyd Rideau Jr.	Guard	17	1-5	1-5	8-9	2	0	1	11
Dionte Johnson	G	25	1-5	1-2	2-2	7	5	2	5
Josh Smith	G	6	1-2	0-0	1-1	0	1	0	3
Isaac Parson	Guard	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	2
Timmy Adedire	Forward	34	0-6	0-5	1-3	5	2	1	1
Aquan Smart	Guard	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0
Jaqai Murray	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nakavieon White	F	22	10-16	3-5	1-1	6	1	2	0	24
Adante' Holiman	G	24	4-7	3-6	4-6	1	1	1	0	15
Avantae Parker	F	15	6-7	0-0	0-0	2	0	3	0	12
Bradley Douglas	G	32	4-10	1-6	1-4	5	2	0	0	10
Tyson Brown	F	18	4-5	0-0	1-2	5	1	1	1	9
Eugene Brown III	Forward	20	1-4	0-3	1-2	5	1	1	0	3
Dontae Horne	G	13	1-4	0-3	1-1	5	1	0	0	3
Nate Brafford	F	18	1-3	0-2	0-1	2	0	1	0	2
Micah Smith	F	9	0-1	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	2
Eren Banks	G	28	0-4	0-3	0-0	3	4	0	0	0
Collin Kuhl	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.4Possessions76.4

98.2Offensive Efficiency104.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency98.2

-6.5Net Efficiency6.5

45.8%Effective FG%55.6%

50.8%True Shooting %56.3%

23.4%Turnover Rate27.6%

48.3%Free Throw Rate30.6%

40.0%3-Point Rate46.8%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.52

Game Summary

Georgia Southern won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 76.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.