Eastern Illinois

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.7%Eastern Illinois

90.3%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -13.9

PROJECTED TOTAL141.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -931

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 64

Projected Total141.4

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 78

Team Comparison

Eastern IllinoisMetricNorthwestern

39.9MMH Power Index55.4

99.6Offensive Efficiency111.6

104.4Defensive Efficiency109.8

-4.8Net Efficiency1.8

-2.4Strength of Schedule5.6

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

67.4Tempo65.6

47.5%Effective FG%51.9%

18.5%Turnover Rate13.0%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

33.7%Free Throw Rate34.8%

-3.2Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–39.9), offensive efficiency (111.6–99.6), net efficiency (1.8–-4.8), strength of schedule (5.6–-2.4).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.4–109.8), offensive rebounding (29.3–28.2).

Final

Eastern Illinois

58—67

Northwestern

Northwestern by 9 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern IllinoisTEAM STATNorthwestern

25-61FG21-52

41.0%FG%40.0%

3-193PT5-19

16.0%3PT%26.0%

5-8FT20-27

63.0%FT%74.0%

33Rebounds37

14Offensive Rebounds16

20Assists14

15Turnovers15

9Steals9

4Blocks4

20Fouls12

Player Box Score

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nakyel Shelton	G	37	8-20	1-9	2-2	4	2	3	2	19
Kooper Jacobi	F	41	6-12	0-1	2-2	9	6	1	1	14
Rodolfo Bolis	Forward	30	4-8	0-0	0-1	4	3	1	0	8
Malik Olafioye	G	33	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	5	0	0	4
Lazar Grbovic	Forward	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	4
Zion Fruster	G	40	1-8	1-4	0-1	4	2	1	1	3
Isaiah Griffin	Guard	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Sekou Kalle	Forward	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Artese Stapleton	Guard	16	0-3	0-1	1-2	0	2	0	0	1
Obadiah Curtis	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Leach	Not Available	42	5-12	2-7	15-16	1	1	1	0	27
Nick Martinelli	F	39	6-12	0-1	4-5	4	2	2	0	16
Ty Berry	Guard	33	3-11	3-8	1-3	3	1	0	1	10
Justin Mullins	G	34	3-5	0-1	0-0	5	2	5	1	6
Angelo Ciaravino	G	23	2-3	0-0	0-1	5	0	1	0	4
Luke Hunger	F	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	0	2
K.J. Windham	G	9	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Matthew Nicholson	Center	28	0-3	0-0	0-2	12	4	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

89.5Offensive Efficiency103.4

103.4Defensive Efficiency89.5

-13.9Net Efficiency13.9

43.4%Effective FG%45.2%

44.8%True Shooting %51.7%

22.8%Turnover Rate23.5%

13.1%Free Throw Rate51.9%

31.1%3-Point Rate36.5%

1.33Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.