Wake Forest

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.7%Wake Forest

40.3%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWake Forest -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL161.2

MODEL MONEYLINEWake Forest -148

Xavier

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWake Forest 81

Projected Total161.2

Projected ScoreXavier 80

Team Comparison

Wake ForestMetricXavier

57.6MMH Power Index49.5

112.4Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.7Defensive Efficiency112.4

2.7Net Efficiency-3.2

7.2Strength of Schedule5.6

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.4

70.2Tempo71.7

52.8%Effective FG%51.7%

15.5%Turnover Rate13.9%

30.0%Offensive Rebound %26.2%

36.1%Free Throw Rate28.9%

1.9Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wake Forest HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWake Forest holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.6–49.5), offensive efficiency (112.4–109.2), defensive efficiency (109.7–112.4), net efficiency (2.7–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHball security (13.9–15.5).

Final

Wake Forest

60—75

Xavier

Xavier by 15 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wake ForestTEAM STATXavier

22-47FG23-57

47.0%FG%40.0%

5-153PT10-26

33.0%3PT%38.0%

11-15FT19-22

73.0%FT%86.0%

29Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists17

18Turnovers12

5Steals12

7Blocks3

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Sallis	Guard	40	5-13	2-3	4-4	2	5	1	2	16
Davin Cosby Jr.	G	21	4-6	3-5	2-2	1	1	0	0	13
Efton Reid III	Forward	30	4-6	0-1	1-2	4	1	2	1	9
Tre'Von Spillers	F	36	3-9	0-1	2-2	9	0	0	1	8
Churchill Abass	C	9	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	6
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	16	1-2	0-1	2-3	1	1	0	1	4
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	26	1-5	0-3	0-0	5	2	1	1	2
Parker Friedrichsen	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Juke Harris	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	35	5-14	4-11	7-8	0	4	3	1	21
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	34	4-13	1-4	4-4	2	3	0	0	13
Zach Freemantle	Forward	33	5-13	0-2	1-1	6	4	2	0	11
Marcus Foster	Guard	25	3-5	2-3	0-0	2	1	3	0	8
Jerome Hunter	Forward	18	2-5	2-3	2-2	3	1	0	2	8
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	16	2-3	1-2	1-3	1	0	2	0	6
Dailyn Swain	G	24	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	2	2	0	4
John Hugley IV	F	10	0-1	0-1	2-2	4	2	0	0	2
Trey Green	G	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

90.5Offensive Efficiency113.1

113.1Defensive Efficiency90.5

-22.6Net Efficiency22.6

52.1%Effective FG%49.1%

55.4%True Shooting %55.6%

27.6%Turnover Rate17.8%

31.9%Free Throw Rate38.6%

31.9%3-Point Rate45.6%

0.61Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

Xavier won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.