Saint Peter's

17-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.2%Saint Peter's

85.8%UMBC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -11.8

PROJECTED TOTAL138.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -604

UMBC

24-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Peter's 63

Projected Total138.3

Projected ScoreUMBC 75

Team Comparison

Saint Peter'sMetricUMBC

47.5MMH Power Index59.1

106.6Offensive Efficiency113.0

103.0Defensive Efficiency99.0

3.6Net Efficiency14.0

-3.8Strength of Schedule-5.6

-1.5Last 10 Net Efficiency24.7

66.4Tempo65.5

47.6%Effective FG%54.3%

17.5%Turnover Rate14.3%

36.8%Offensive Rebound %25.2%

36.6%Free Throw Rate34.1%

2.4Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–47.5), offensive efficiency (113.0–106.6), defensive efficiency (99.0–103.0), net efficiency (14.0–3.6).

Saint Peter's COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.8–-5.6), offensive rebounding (36.8–25.2), free throw rate (36.6–34.1).

Final

Saint Peter's

69—61

UMBC

Saint Peter's by 8 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Peter'sTEAM STATUMBC

24-58FG21-55

41.0%FG%38.0%

12-293PT4-21

41.0%3PT%19.0%

9-11FT15-22

82.0%FT%68.0%

42Rebounds30

16Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists6

14Turnovers9

3Steals2

3Blocks3

22Fouls13

Player Box Score

Saint Peter's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Randolph	Guard	38	7-19	5-9	0-0	8	0	0	0	19
Bryce Eaton	G	31	5-10	1-4	3-4	5	2	0	0	14
Armoni Zeigler	G	35	5-11	2-5	0-1	6	2	3	0	12
Stephon Roberts	Forward	33	2-5	0-0	4-4	8	1	0	3	8
Eric Morgan Jr.	G	5	3-3	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	8
Adetokunbo Bakare	G	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jakai Sanders	G	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Brent Bland	G	32	0-6	0-5	2-2	5	1	0	0	2
Jaquel Morris	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Tyreck Morris	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Johnson	Guard	38	3-11	1-6	8-12	4	3	0	0	15
Marlon Short	Guard	31	6-13	0-0	0-1	9	0	1	1	12
Josh Odunowo	F	27	4-8	0-1	2-4	5	3	1	1	10
Louie Jordan	F	23	3-5	2-4	1-1	2	0	0	0	9
Ace Valentine	G	23	3-4	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	8
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	29	1-8	0-6	2-2	4	0	0	0	4
Devan Sapp	Guard	14	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Daylon Dickerson	F	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
JC Harris	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Tim Eze	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

111.5Offensive Efficiency98.5

98.5Defensive Efficiency111.5

12.9Net Efficiency-12.9

51.7%Effective FG%41.8%

54.6%True Shooting %46.6%

22.9%Turnover Rate14.4%

19.0%Free Throw Rate40.0%

50.0%3-Point Rate38.2%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Saint Peter's won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.