Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

93.2%Central Arkansas

6.8%Western Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -16.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -1371

Western Illinois

5-26

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 83

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 67

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricWestern Illinois

54MMH Power Index25.9

113.9Offensive Efficiency96.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency113.9

8.7Net Efficiency-17.7

-3.9Strength of Schedule-2.4

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-26.3

71.0Tempo67.5

54.3%Effective FG%45.4%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.5%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

30.7%Free Throw Rate37.5%

6.1Average Margin-11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–25.9), offensive efficiency (113.9–96.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–113.9), net efficiency (8.7–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-3.9), free throw rate (37.5–30.7).

Final

Central Arkansas

61—63

Western Illinois

Western Illinois by 2 • 61.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATWestern Illinois

23-53FG21-54

43.0%FG%39.0%

8-243PT8-29

33.0%3PT%28.0%

7-7FT13-20

100.0%FT%65.0%

33Rebounds31

8Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists11

13Turnovers7

4Steals8

3Blocks3

18Fouls9

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Layne Taylor	G	32	8-20	5-13	0-0	6	1	0	0	21
Brayden Fagbemi	G	35	6-12	0-3	1-1	5	4	0	0	13
Mike Evbagharu	G	21	3-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Nehemiah Turner	F	19	1-4	0-0	4-4	6	3	0	1	6
Elias Cato	Forward	31	1-3	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	1	4
Ben Fox	Guard	23	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Cole McCormick	F	17	1-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jabari West Jr.	Forward	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Diogo Seixas	Forward	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	2	0	0
Ethan Thomas	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Myers	G	38	6-23	4-16	2-4	4	2	1	1	18
Sean Smith	G	40	6-9	3-4	2-3	6	4	5	0	17
Tay Knox	C	31	4-4	0-0	1-2	7	1	1	1	9
Julius Rollins	G	34	1-5	0-3	6-6	3	3	0	1	8
Marko Maletic	Guard	15	3-8	1-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	7
Kayden Carter	Forward	24	1-2	0-0	2-3	2	1	0	0	4
Trey Deveaux	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Rodrick Payne	Forward	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Kiyron Powell	Center	3	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.4Possessions61.4

99.3Offensive Efficiency102.6

102.6Defensive Efficiency99.3

-3.3Net Efficiency3.3

50.9%Effective FG%46.3%

54.2%True Shooting %49.6%

21.2%Turnover Rate11.4%

13.2%Free Throw Rate37.0%

45.3%3-Point Rate53.7%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Western Illinois won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 61.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.