Stephen F. Austin

28-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.0%Stephen F. Austin

56.0%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -127

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStephen F. Austin 76

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreArkansas State 78

Team Comparison

Stephen F. AustinMetricArkansas State

60.1MMH Power Index57.7

114.3Offensive Efficiency113.1

99.4Defensive Efficiency105.3

14.9Net Efficiency7.8

-1.8Strength of Schedule-1.0

4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

67.0Tempo73.3

52.2%Effective FG%52.7%

13.9%Turnover Rate19.4%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

30.3%Free Throw Rate39.6%

10.0Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Stephen F. Austin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMStephen F. Austin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–57.7), offensive efficiency (114.3–113.1), defensive efficiency (99.4–105.3), net efficiency (14.9–7.8).

Arkansas State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-1.8), recent form (15.2–4.7), shooting efficiency (52.7–52.2).

Final

Stephen F. Austin

49—59

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 10 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Stephen F. AustinTEAM STATArkansas State

17-54FG19-61

31.0%FG%31.0%

3-163PT8-30

19.0%3PT%27.0%

12-21FT13-28

57.0%FT%46.0%

46Rebounds45

16Offensive Rebounds19

6Assists11

16Turnovers11

6Steals8

2Blocks6

26Fouls21

Player Box Score

Stephen F. Austin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Hayman	G	31	4-9	1-3	3-4	6	1	1	0	12
Nana Antwi-Boasiako	Forward	28	4-8	0-3	3-4	12	0	1	0	11
Chrishawn Christmas	G	34	2-12	0-2	2-5	10	3	4	1	6
Keith Lamar	F	25	2-8	1-4	1-2	0	0	0	1	6
Clayton Southwick	Forward	11	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Myles Jenkins	Guard	21	1-5	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	3
Dominic Pangonis	G	21	1-6	1-2	0-1	2	2	0	0	3
Juhlawnei Stone	Forward	14	0-1	0-0	2-3	4	0	0	0	2
Thierno Sylla	C	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
DaeVeon Scott	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Taryn Todd	Guard	36	7-12	4-5	3-8	6	4	3	1	21
Kobe Julien	Forward	36	4-14	1-6	0-3	9	1	3	2	9
Terrance Ford Jr.	G	35	2-9	1-5	2-4	3	3	0	0	7
Rashaud Marshall	F	25	2-5	0-0	3-6	9	1	0	2	7
Derrian Ford	G	18	1-6	1-6	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Joseph Pinion	G	8	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Cody Head	G	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Kameron Johnson	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Justin Johnson	G	3	0-0	0-0	2-3	0	0	0	0	2
Josh Hill	F	8	0-3	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	1	1
Avery Felts	Guard	17	0-3	0-3	0-0	3	1	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

75.2Offensive Efficiency90.5

90.5Defensive Efficiency75.2

-15.3Net Efficiency15.3

34.3%Effective FG%37.7%

38.3%True Shooting %39.7%

25.0%Turnover Rate16.6%

38.9%Free Throw Rate45.9%

29.6%3-Point Rate49.2%

0.38Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.