Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.3%Idaho State

45.7%San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -119

San Diego

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 77

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreSan Diego 77

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricSan Diego

45.9MMH Power Index39.8

111.0Offensive Efficiency106.2

113.4Defensive Efficiency111.1

-2.4Net Efficiency-4.9

0.2Strength of Schedule-1.2

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.2

67.1Tempo70.1

52.2%Effective FG%52.0%

16.5%Turnover Rate17.8%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

39.1%Free Throw Rate26.3%

-1.6Average Margin-3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–39.8), offensive efficiency (111.0–106.2), net efficiency (-2.4–-4.9), strength of schedule (0.2–-1.2).

San Diego COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.1–113.4).

Final

Idaho State

78—66

San Diego

Idaho State by 12 • 76.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATSan Diego

26-59FG22-60

44.0%FG%37.0%

7-223PT5-26

32.0%3PT%19.0%

19-25FT17-19

76.0%FT%89.0%

39Rebounds30

11Offensive Rebounds9

18Assists13

16Turnovers17

8Steals9

6Blocks5

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Griffin	F	28	4-10	1-4	6-8	6	1	0	0	15
Connor Hollenbeck	F	35	4-9	2-3	3-4	2	3	3	0	13
Evan Otten	F	31	6-9	0-0	1-1	9	1	1	5	13
Dylan Darling	G	33	3-9	1-4	5-7	8	8	2	0	12
Jake O'Neil	Guard	33	4-8	0-1	3-4	6	1	2	1	11
AJ Burgin	Guard	13	2-6	2-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Jackson Greene	Forward	8	2-3	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	5
Jaedyn Brown	G	6	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Quentin Meza	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	4	0	0	0
Blake Daberkow	F	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kody Clouet	G	32	3-9	1-5	8-8	2	1	1	1	15
Santiago Trouet	F	26	6-10	1-4	1-1	7	2	3	0	14
Kjay Bradley Jr.	G	21	4-7	1-3	3-5	1	4	3	0	12
Steven Jamerson II	F	27	3-8	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	1	6
Dragos Lungu	G	19	2-9	0-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
David Simon	F	11	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Deven Dahlke	Guard	10	0-2	0-2	3-3	0	0	1	0	3
Dominic Muncey	Guard	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	17	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Gavin Ripp	F	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	2
Joey Chammaa	G	7	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Chas Lewless	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.5Possessions76.5

102.0Offensive Efficiency86.3

86.3Defensive Efficiency102.0

15.7Net Efficiency-15.7

50.0%Effective FG%40.8%

55.0%True Shooting %47.8%

21.1%Turnover Rate22.1%

42.4%Free Throw Rate31.7%

37.3%3-Point Rate43.3%

1.13Assist / Turnover0.76

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 76.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.