Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.7%Texas State

43.3%Abilene Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL144.3

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -131

Abilene Christian

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 73

Projected Total144.3

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 72

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricAbilene Christian

49.4MMH Power Index42.4

107.7Offensive Efficiency101.1

103.4Defensive Efficiency104.1

4.3Net Efficiency-3.0

-4.7Strength of Schedule-1.4

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.3

68.6Tempo69.6

51.3%Effective FG%48.9%

18.4%Turnover Rate20.6%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

36.0%Free Throw Rate42.0%

2.9Average Margin-2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–42.4), offensive efficiency (107.7–101.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–104.1), net efficiency (4.3–-3.0).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-4.7), free throw rate (42.0–36.0).

Final

Texas State

60—72

Abilene Christian

Abilene Christian by 12 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATAbilene Christian

15-37FG24-49

41.0%FG%49.0%

3-83PT8-13

38.0%3PT%62.0%

27-38FT16-22

71.0%FT%73.0%

24Rebounds33

4Offensive Rebounds9

6Assists14

17Turnovers20

8Steals11

3Blocks4

20Fouls32

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua O'Garro	G	38	5-12	0-2	13-13	11	1	3	1	23
Kaden Gumbs	G	39	5-12	1-2	5-5	2	1	1	0	16
Drue Drinnon	Guard	35	2-5	2-4	3-8	0	2	1	0	9
Tylan Pope	Forward	16	3-6	0-0	3-6	1	0	0	1	9
Jaylen Jones	Guard	14	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	1	2
Austin Green	F	12	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Christian Turner	Forward	34	0-1	0-0	0-1	3	2	3	0	0
Bessanty Saragba	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nate Deer	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	32	7-11	6-8	3-3	4	4	1	0	23
Quion Williams	G	26	6-10	1-2	4-6	3	2	1	1	17
Bradyn Hubbard	F	21	2-2	0-0	4-5	4	0	1	0	8
Leonardo Bettiol	F	26	3-6	0-0	1-1	3	2	0	0	7
Rich Smith	G	25	2-3	0-0	2-4	1	3	3	0	6
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	15	2-4	0-0	2-2	3	0	2	0	6
Yaniel Rivera	G	5	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Cade Hornecker	F	16	1-6	0-0	0-0	10	1	1	1	2
Joseph Venzant	G	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	1	0
Dontrez Williams	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-1	1	1	0	1	0
Christian Alston	G	5	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

86.6Offensive Efficiency103.9

103.9Defensive Efficiency86.6

-17.3Net Efficiency17.3

44.6%Effective FG%57.1%

54.5%True Shooting %60.6%

25.0%Turnover Rate28.4%

102.7%Free Throw Rate44.9%

21.6%3-Point Rate26.5%

0.35Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

Abilene Christian won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.