Mercer

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Mercer

55.2%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL153.5

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -123

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercer 76

Projected Total153.5

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 78

Team Comparison

MercerMetricSouth Alabama

54.1MMH Power Index51.4

116.6Offensive Efficiency110.3

106.5Defensive Efficiency103.9

10.1Net Efficiency6.4

-4.4Strength of Schedule-3.7

1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

70.9Tempo67.4

53.8%Effective FG%53.2%

14.7%Turnover Rate12.8%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

38.9%Free Throw Rate39.8%

7.2Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercer HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercer holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–51.4), offensive efficiency (116.6–110.3), net efficiency (10.1–6.4), shooting efficiency (53.8–53.2).

South Alabama COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.9–106.5), strength of schedule (-3.7–-4.4), recent form (3.4–1.2).

Final

Mercer

66—75

South Alabama

South Alabama by 9 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercerTEAM STATSouth Alabama

22-58FG25-60

38.0%FG%42.0%

12-323PT8-32

38.0%3PT%25.0%

10-11FT17-25

91.0%FT%68.0%

33Rebounds44

5Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists13

11Turnovers9

7Steals8

4Blocks4

17Fouls11

Player Box Score

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Johnson	Guard	35	9-16	6-11	2-2	2	0	1	0	26
Ahmad Robinson	G	32	4-12	2-6	6-6	5	7	3	0	16
Jah Quinones	Guard	21	4-8	2-4	0-0	0	1	2	0	10
Angel Montas Jr.	G	26	1-8	1-5	2-2	4	2	0	0	5
Alex Holt	Forward	30	2-5	0-0	0-0	5	3	0	1	4
Cam Bryant	Forward	29	1-5	1-5	0-0	6	0	1	2	3
Marcus Overstreet	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	0	2
Brady Shoulders	G	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	1	0
Laurynas Vaistaras	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Corey	G	37	8-15	4-11	8-11	6	1	2	0	28
Judah Brown	Forward	34	6-9	2-5	1-3	2	0	1	2	15
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	30	4-15	0-6	1-2	14	1	2	1	9
Randy Brady	F	30	1-4	0-2	5-6	5	7	0	1	7
JJ Wheat	G	14	2-2	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	6
John Broom	G	29	2-7	1-5	0-1	10	1	1	0	5
Dylan Fasoyiro	Guard	16	2-6	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	5
Cantia Rahming	Forward	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

95.5Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency95.5

-13.0Net Efficiency13.0

48.3%Effective FG%48.3%

52.2%True Shooting %52.2%

15.9%Turnover Rate13.1%

19.0%Free Throw Rate41.7%

55.2%3-Point Rate53.3%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.