Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Murray State

59.5%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -147

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 78

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 81

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricMiddle Tennessee

53.6MMH Power Index52.5

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency105.7

4.0Net Efficiency3.9

3.5Strength of Schedule0.4

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

72.3Tempo68.8

54.0%Effective FG%52.2%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.7%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

39.1%Free Throw Rate33.2%

2.9Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–52.5), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.6), net efficiency (4.0–3.9), strength of schedule (3.5–0.4).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.7–111.0), recent form (3.2–-9.5).

Final

Murray State

88—67

Middle Tennessee

Murray State by 21 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

32-52FG25-64

62.0%FG%39.0%

10-193PT4-23

53.0%3PT%17.0%

14-16FT13-19

88.0%FT%68.0%

33Rebounds30

4Offensive Rebounds12

19Assists9

12Turnovers7

3Steals5

6Blocks4

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	31	12-16	0-0	3-4	8	4	0	5	27
AJ Ferguson	Guard	36	4-5	4-4	4-4	4	1	1	1	16
JaCobi Wood	Guard	27	5-9	1-3	4-4	4	6	2	0	15
Terence Harcum	Guard	39	4-9	2-6	1-2	3	4	0	0	11
Kylen Milton	Guard	27	3-5	1-3	2-2	4	1	0	0	9
Alden Applewhite	F	24	3-5	1-2	0-0	6	2	0	0	7
Justin Morgan	Guard	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Nick Ellington	F	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Patrick Chew	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kamari Lands	G	32	8-15	1-6	2-4	4	0	0	0	19
Jlynn Counter	G	20	4-9	2-4	5-7	4	1	1	0	15
Jestin Porter	G	30	2-9	1-7	2-4	1	3	1	0	7
Camryn Weston	Guard	30	3-11	0-3	0-0	4	4	1	0	6
Torey Alston	F	14	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Justin Bufford	Guard	25	1-2	0-1	3-3	3	1	1	0	5
Chris Loofe	F	20	2-5	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	2	4
Essam Mostafa	Forward	20	1-9	0-1	1-1	6	0	0	1	3
Jacob Johnson	Guard	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

129.8Offensive Efficiency98.8

98.8Defensive Efficiency129.8

31.0Net Efficiency-31.0

71.2%Effective FG%42.2%

73.8%True Shooting %45.9%

17.8%Turnover Rate10.3%

30.8%Free Throw Rate29.7%

36.5%3-Point Rate35.9%

1.58Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Murray State won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.