Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.9%Toledo

34.1%Detroit Mercy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL159.4

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -193

Detroit Mercy

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 81

Projected Total159.4

Projected ScoreDetroit Mercy 78

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricDetroit Mercy

58.8MMH Power Index48.3

116.0Offensive Efficiency110.2

109.6Defensive Efficiency110.4

6.4Net Efficiency-0.2

2.3Strength of Schedule-1.9

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

69.8Tempo70.0

55.1%Effective FG%50.0%

14.6%Turnover Rate16.1%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %34.1%

30.3%Free Throw Rate35.1%

4.5Average Margin-0.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–48.3), offensive efficiency (116.0–110.2), defensive efficiency (109.6–110.4), net efficiency (6.4–-0.2).

Detroit Mercy COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (34.1–30.4), free throw rate (35.1–30.3).

Final

Toledo

82—67

Detroit Mercy

Toledo by 15 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATDetroit Mercy

29-65FG25-58

45.0%FG%43.0%

6-233PT8-17

26.0%3PT%47.0%

18-24FT9-16

75.0%FT%56.0%

36Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds10

17Assists9

8Turnovers16

7Steals5

4Blocks1

14Fouls23

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	35	9-15	1-3	3-4	5	6	1	0	22
Sam Lewis	G	29	5-12	0-2	7-8	8	1	0	0	17
Isaiah Adams	Guard	33	3-14	1-7	3-4	4	4	3	1	10
Javan Simmons	F	21	4-5	0-0	1-2	2	3	1	1	9
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	21	3-7	2-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	8
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	23	2-4	0-1	2-4	5	0	0	1	6
Bryce Ford	G	11	2-4	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Seth Hubbard	G	22	1-3	0-1	2-2	2	3	1	0	4
Tyler Ode	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Grgur Brcic	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Jaylen Murphy	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Detroit Mercy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Emmanuel Kuac	Guard	29	6-8	5-7	1-1	4	0	2	0	18
Orlando Lovejoy	G	28	4-9	0-0	4-6	3	1	0	0	12
TJ Nadeau	G	27	4-10	2-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	10
Jared Lary	G	26	4-8	1-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	9
Mak Manciel	G	20	2-7	0-1	3-7	3	2	1	0	7
Miles Mitchell	Forward	9	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Nate Johnson	G	19	1-2	0-1	1-2	3	1	0	0	3
Legend Geeter	F	24	1-6	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	0	2
Ryan Kalambay	F	7	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Stephen Okoro	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	0
Chase Kuiper	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

113.1Offensive Efficiency92.4

92.4Defensive Efficiency113.1

20.7Net Efficiency-20.7

49.2%Effective FG%50.0%

53.7%True Shooting %51.1%

10.9%Turnover Rate22.3%

36.9%Free Throw Rate27.6%

35.4%3-Point Rate29.3%

2.13Assist / Turnover0.56

Game Summary

Toledo won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.