Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.0%Little Rock

27.0%UTSA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -270

UTSA

5-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 77

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScoreUTSA 72

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricUTSA

44MMH Power Index30.5

103.0Offensive Efficiency99.0

108.2Defensive Efficiency115.0

-5.2Net Efficiency-16.0

0.5Strength of Schedule-1.2

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.6

68.5Tempo70.2

50.3%Effective FG%45.9%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

28.6%Free Throw Rate29.9%

-3.6Average Margin-11.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–30.5), offensive efficiency (103.0–99.0), defensive efficiency (108.2–115.0), net efficiency (-5.2–-16.0).

UTSA COUNTERS WITHball security (17.0–18.7), free throw rate (29.9–28.6).

Final

Little Rock

81—64

UTSA

Little Rock by 17 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATUTSA

29-55FG18-60

53.0%FG%30.0%

9-183PT8-29

50.0%3PT%28.0%

14-20FT20-27

70.0%FT%74.0%

34Rebounds40

6Offensive Rebounds18

21Assists10

14Turnovers17

10Steals11

9Blocks3

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ante Beljan	F	34	7-10	0-0	7-10	4	5	0	1	21
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	35	7-13	4-7	1-2	8	0	4	2	19
Isaiah Lewis	G	36	5-10	2-3	4-5	6	7	3	0	16
Johnathan Lawson	G	39	5-13	3-7	2-2	5	6	2	2	15
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	30	4-5	0-0	0-1	4	1	1	4	8
Creed Williamson	Forward	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Nikola Milosevic	Forward	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kristiyan Popov	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Christian Hughes	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UTSA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Primo Spears	Guard	40	5-16	0-5	5-7	2	5	1	0	15
Marcus Millender	G	40	3-12	2-8	4-4	3	2	0	0	12
Skylar Wicks	G	31	3-11	2-8	2-4	7	1	2	0	10
Nazar Mahmoud	G	22	2-9	2-6	4-5	6	0	2	0	10
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	31	2-5	1-1	2-2	8	0	3	2	7
Mo Njie	C	20	0-4	0-0	3-4	8	0	0	1	3
Jaquan Scott	F	10	1-1	1-1	0-1	2	2	3	0	3
David Hermes	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Zach Gonsoulin	Guard	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

112.2Offensive Efficiency88.6

88.6Defensive Efficiency112.2

23.5Net Efficiency-23.5

60.9%Effective FG%36.7%

62.8%True Shooting %43.9%

19.3%Turnover Rate23.7%

36.4%Free Throw Rate45.0%

32.7%3-Point Rate48.3%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.59

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.