Portland

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.8%Portland

58.2%Long Beach State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLong Beach State -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINELong Beach State -139

Long Beach State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland 76

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 80

Team Comparison

PortlandMetricLong Beach State

42.7MMH Power Index41.1

104.8Offensive Efficiency103.8

110.6Defensive Efficiency107.8

-5.8Net Efficiency-4.0

1.8Strength of Schedule-1.4

-8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

71.0Tempo72.2

52.0%Effective FG%51.5%

19.3%Turnover Rate17.7%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

36.9%Free Throw Rate31.1%

-4.1Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.7–41.1), offensive efficiency (104.8–103.8), strength of schedule (1.8–-1.4), shooting efficiency (52.0–51.5).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.8–110.6), net efficiency (-4.0–-5.8), recent form (-6.7–-8.1).

Final

Portland

63—61

Long Beach State

Portland by 2 • 61.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PortlandTEAM STATLong Beach State

22-52FG21-55

42.0%FG%38.0%

8-203PT9-27

40.0%3PT%33.0%

11-17FT10-19

65.0%FT%53.0%

37Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists13

10Turnovers9

3Steals6

3Blocks3

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Portland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Austin Rapp	F	31	5-10	5-8	3-3	4	1	0	1	18
Max Mackinnon	G	31	5-11	1-3	1-1	3	2	1	0	12
Vukasin Masic	G	28	3-7	1-4	2-3	7	6	1	0	9
Todd Jones Jr.	F	24	3-4	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	0	8
Chris Austin	Guard	32	2-8	0-2	3-7	2	0	1	1	7
Mikah Ballew	G	21	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	10	1-2	1-1	0-1	0	0	0	1	3
Vincent Delano	G	14	1-5	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Bol Dengdit	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ramel Lloyd Jr.	G	29	5-13	2-6	3-4	4	1	0	0	15
Cam Denson	F	26	5-7	2-3	3-11	9	1	2	1	15
Devin Askew	G	38	3-14	2-7	2-2	8	6	2	0	10
TJ Wainwright	G	28	4-10	2-7	0-0	0	2	1	0	10
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	F	21	2-4	1-2	0-0	6	1	1	2	5
Austin Johnson	Not Available	22	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Andrew Nagy	Forward	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	0	2
Kam Martin	G	15	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Christian Richardson	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.1Possessions61.1

103.1Offensive Efficiency99.8

99.8Defensive Efficiency103.1

3.3Net Efficiency-3.3

50.0%Effective FG%46.4%

52.4%True Shooting %47.6%

16.6%Turnover Rate14.5%

32.7%Free Throw Rate34.5%

38.5%3-Point Rate49.1%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Portland won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 61.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.