Bowling Green

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.1%Bowling Green

89.9%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -13.0

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -890

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBowling Green 70

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreMichigan State 83

Team Comparison

Bowling GreenMetricMichigan State

54.7MMH Power Index69.8

112.6Offensive Efficiency117.0

99.1Defensive Efficiency101.5

13.5Net Efficiency15.5

-4.7Strength of Schedule7.2

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

72.2Tempo67.3

53.4%Effective FG%54.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

38.7%Free Throw Rate36.6%

9.8Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–54.7), offensive efficiency (117.0–112.6), net efficiency (15.5–13.5), strength of schedule (7.2–-4.7).

Bowling Green COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.1–101.5), ball security (15.9–17.2), free throw rate (38.7–36.6).

Final

Bowling Green

72—86

Michigan State

Michigan State by 14 • 71.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Bowling GreenTEAM STATMichigan State

27-62FG27-59

44.0%FG%46.0%

5-263PT4-20

19.0%3PT%20.0%

13-14FT28-32

93.0%FT%88.0%

28Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds15

12Assists20

12Turnovers11

8Steals7

4Blocks7

26Fouls12

Player Box Score

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Johnson	F	35	9-24	1-11	4-4	5	2	1	0	23
Javontae Campbell	G	37	6-13	0-3	2-3	4	2	2	0	14
Youssef Khayat	Forward	37	3-5	0-0	7-7	2	2	1	2	13
Trey Thomas	Guard	28	3-10	2-7	0-0	3	2	1	0	8
Sam Towns	F	26	3-3	2-2	0-0	4	1	1	0	8
Jamai Felt	F	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	4
Braelon Green	G	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Derrick Butler	Guard	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
DaJion Humphrey	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Wilguens Jr. Exacte	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Akins	Guard	31	5-16	1-5	2-2	12	6	2	0	13
Carson Cooper	C	19	4-5	0-0	4-4	2	0	0	1	12
Frankie Fidler	Forward	15	1-6	0-5	10-10	3	0	0	0	12
Coen Carr	F	26	5-8	0-0	1-4	5	0	1	0	11
Tre Holloman	G	25	5-9	1-3	0-0	3	3	0	4	11
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	21	2-4	1-1	5-6	1	5	2	0	10
Jaxon Kohler	F	16	2-3	0-0	6-6	3	2	1	1	10
Szymon Zapala	Center	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	0	4
Xavier Booker	F	10	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	1	3
Jase Richardson	Guard	20	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Kur Teng	G	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.0Possessions71.0

101.4Offensive Efficiency121.1

121.1Defensive Efficiency101.4

-19.7Net Efficiency19.7

47.6%Effective FG%49.2%

52.4%True Shooting %58.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.7%

22.6%Free Throw Rate54.2%

41.9%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.82

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 71.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.