Saint Francis

7-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.6%Saint Francis

83.4%Mount St. Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMount St. Mary's -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMount St. Mary's -502

Mount St. Mary's

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 67

Projected Total146.0

Projected ScoreMount St. Mary's 79

Team Comparison

Saint FrancisMetricMount St. Mary's

32.7MMH Power Index42.6

101.2Offensive Efficiency100.2

114.7Defensive Efficiency103.2

-13.5Net Efficiency-3.0

-2.3Strength of Schedule-3.1

-10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

70.6Tempo67.9

49.8%Effective FG%51.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate22.4%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

31.2%Free Throw Rate33.3%

-9.5Average Margin-2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mount St. Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMount St. Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.6–32.7), defensive efficiency (103.2–114.7), net efficiency (-3.0–-13.5), recent form (6.4–-10.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (101.2–100.2), strength of schedule (-2.3–-3.1), ball security (18.3–22.4).

Final

Saint Francis

58—66

Mount St. Mary's

Mount St. Mary's by 8 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint FrancisTEAM STATMount St. Mary's

22-61FG23-56

36.0%FG%41.0%

6-303PT5-23

20.0%3PT%22.0%

8-9FT15-20

89.0%FT%75.0%

35Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists9

12Turnovers16

8Steals9

1Blocks5

14Fouls10

Player Box Score

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	32	5-11	2-7	2-2	5	2	0	0	14
Jeremy Clayville	G	22	4-10	1-6	0-0	4	0	2	0	9
Ace Talbert	G	33	3-8	2-5	0-0	3	3	0	1	8
Daemar Kelly	G	29	2-10	0-4	4-4	2	0	0	0	8
Valentino Pinedo	F	26	4-6	0-0	0-1	8	1	3	0	8
Riley Parker	G	25	3-10	1-6	0-0	4	1	1	0	7
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	16	1-3	0-1	2-2	3	1	2	0	4
Miles Webb	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Aidan Harris	Forward	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Chris Moncrief	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Mount St. Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrell Ard Jr.	Forward	31	4-7	0-0	4-4	9	3	1	0	12
Dallas Hobbs	G	30	4-12	1-6	3-3	6	5	3	0	12
Xavier Lipscomb	G	32	3-6	2-5	2-2	3	0	0	1	10
Dola Adebayo	F	30	2-8	0-1	6-7	13	0	1	4	10
Javon Ervin	Guard	16	5-8	0-2	0-1	2	1	0	0	10
Carmelo Pacheco	G	27	3-9	2-6	0-1	2	0	0	0	8
Arlandus Keyes	G	19	2-6	0-3	0-2	2	0	3	0	4
Abdou Khadre Kébé	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Trey Wilson	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

85.4Offensive Efficiency97.2

97.2Defensive Efficiency85.4

-11.8Net Efficiency11.8

41.0%Effective FG%45.5%

44.4%True Shooting %50.4%

18.1%Turnover Rate23.0%

14.8%Free Throw Rate35.7%

49.2%3-Point Rate41.1%

0.83Assist / Turnover0.56

Game Summary

Mount St. Mary's won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.