North Carolina Central

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.5%North Carolina Central

92.5%William & Mary

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWilliam & Mary -16.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINEWilliam & Mary -1233

William & Mary

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 70

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreWilliam & Mary 87

Team Comparison

North Carolina CentralMetricWilliam & Mary

35.8MMH Power Index53.8

104.9Offensive Efficiency112.5

110.2Defensive Efficiency105.2

-5.3Net Efficiency7.3

-8.0Strength of Schedule-1.5

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

68.5Tempo73.9

49.8%Effective FG%55.3%

17.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

39.7%Free Throw Rate45.3%

-3.6Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

William & Mary HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWilliam & Mary holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–35.8), offensive efficiency (112.5–104.9), defensive efficiency (105.2–110.2), net efficiency (7.3–-5.3).

North Carolina Central COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.9–26.7).

Final

North Carolina Central

78—76

William & Mary

North Carolina Central by 2 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Carolina CentralTEAM STATWilliam & Mary

27-57FG25-47

47.0%FG%53.0%

10-293PT4-18

34.0%3PT%22.0%

14-19FT22-29

74.0%FT%76.0%

28Rebounds30

8Offensive Rebounds6

16Assists10

15Turnovers15

7Steals4

1Blocks1

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Po'Boigh King	G	29	8-16	4-10	2-2	2	4	0	0	22
Keishon Porter	G	28	5-8	2-4	2-4	2	1	0	1	14
Dionte Johnson	G	21	3-4	3-4	0-0	1	3	2	0	9
Jaqai Murray	F	20	2-3	0-0	5-6	4	0	2	0	9
Perry Smith Jr.	C	17	3-3	0-0	1-2	7	1	0	0	7
Isaac Parson	Guard	19	1-6	0-1	4-4	3	2	1	0	6
Timmy Adedire	Forward	40	2-5	1-2	0-1	5	4	2	0	5
Aquan Smart	Guard	12	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Floyd Rideau Jr.	Guard	11	1-7	0-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Josh Smith	G	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

William & Mary

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matteus Case	Guard	25	6-8	0-0	7-7	5	4	1	0	19
Noah Collier	F	24	8-11	0-0	2-3	3	1	0	1	18
Kyle Pulliam	G	27	3-7	1-4	8-10	5	2	1	0	15
Keller Boothby	Forward	28	3-7	2-6	0-0	6	0	0	0	8
Chase Lowe	G	15	2-5	0-1	2-5	4	1	0	0	6
Kyle Frazier	G	22	1-2	1-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Finn Lally	F	12	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Miles Hicks	G	5	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Gabe Dorsey	Guard	22	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Isaiah Mbeng	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Malachi Ndur	Forward	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

109.2Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency109.2

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

56.1%Effective FG%57.4%

59.1%True Shooting %62.5%

20.5%Turnover Rate21.5%

33.3%Free Throw Rate61.7%

50.9%3-Point Rate38.3%

1.07Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

North Carolina Central won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.