Florida Gulf Coast

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.4%Florida Gulf Coast

56.6%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDrake -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINEDrake -130

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 76

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreDrake 79

Team Comparison

Florida Gulf CoastMetricDrake

48.6MMH Power Index46.4

110.5Offensive Efficiency109.5

109.2Defensive Efficiency109.1

1.3Net Efficiency0.4

-1.8Strength of Schedule0.3

0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

70.0Tempo68.6

52.1%Effective FG%52.2%

15.7%Turnover Rate14.9%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

29.9%Free Throw Rate34.4%

0.9Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida Gulf Coast HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida Gulf Coast holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.6–46.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–109.5), net efficiency (1.3–0.4), recent form (0.7–-11.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.1–109.2), strength of schedule (0.3–-1.8), shooting efficiency (52.2–52.1).

Final

Florida Gulf Coast

61—63

Drake

Drake by 2 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida Gulf CoastTEAM STATDrake

26-49FG20-45

53.0%FG%44.0%

3-123PT6-21

25.0%3PT%29.0%

6-8FT17-25

75.0%FT%68.0%

24Rebounds29

5Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists9

15Turnovers16

9Steals9

2Blocks2

21Fouls14

Player Box Score

Florida Gulf Coast

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zavian McLean	Guard	30	7-13	2-6	1-2	3	0	3	0	17
Keeshawn Kellman	Forward	28	8-11	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	2	16
Jevin Muniz	G	37	4-6	0-1	5-6	2	3	2	0	13
Rahmir Barno	G	27	3-8	0-1	0-0	2	6	2	0	6
Dallion Johnson	Guard	29	2-5	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Darren Williams	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Rory Stewart	F	19	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Michael Duax	F	21	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Tristen Guillouette	C	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bennett Stirtz	G	40	8-13	2-4	7-9	7	4	3	0	25
Daniel Abreu	Forward	40	5-10	4-7	3-3	1	0	0	1	17
Nate Ferguson	Forward	17	4-4	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	0	10
Cam Manyawu	F	17	2-5	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	1	5
Isaiah Jackson	Guard	27	0-6	0-5	3-4	4	2	3	0	3
Isaia Howard	G	12	1-2	0-1	0-1	2	1	1	0	2
Tavion Banks	G	9	0-2	0-1	1-2	4	0	0	0	1
Mitch Mascari	Guard	25	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Andrew Alia	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Kael Combs	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

97.0Offensive Efficiency100.2

100.2Defensive Efficiency97.0

-3.2Net Efficiency3.2

56.1%Effective FG%51.1%

57.8%True Shooting %55.4%

23.9%Turnover Rate25.4%

16.3%Free Throw Rate55.6%

24.5%3-Point Rate46.7%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.56

Game Summary

Drake won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.