Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.7%Cal State Northridge

43.3%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL165.1

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -131

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 83

Projected Total165.1

Projected ScoreSacramento State 82

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricSacramento State

50MMH Power Index43

107.3Offensive Efficiency106.1

105.2Defensive Efficiency112.0

2.1Net Efficiency-5.9

-0.6Strength of Schedule0.9

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

75.9Tempo73.2

51.0%Effective FG%48.5%

17.3%Turnover Rate14.2%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

34.7%Free Throw Rate41.8%

1.6Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–43.0), offensive efficiency (107.3–106.1), defensive efficiency (105.2–112.0), net efficiency (2.1–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-0.6), ball security (14.2–17.3), free throw rate (41.8–34.7).

Final

Cal State Northridge

79—69

Sacramento State

Cal State Northridge by 10 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATSacramento State

25-50FG22-53

50.0%FG%42.0%

6-173PT10-30

35.0%3PT%33.0%

23-31FT15-20

74.0%FT%75.0%

35Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists15

14Turnovers16

6Steals7

4Blocks—

18Fouls27

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Scotty Washington	G	30	7-13	4-7	9-11	2	0	2	0	27
Keonte Jones	G	25	7-11	0-0	6-6	6	4	2	2	20
Tyler Beard	Guard	16	2-3	1-1	4-4	2	1	0	1	9
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	33	4-10	0-4	0-0	7	1	1	0	8
Mahmoud Fofana	F	31	3-4	0-0	1-1	10	2	0	1	7
PJ Fuller II	Guard	30	1-6	1-4	1-3	2	2	0	0	4
Jordan Brinson	G	12	0-0	0-0	2-5	3	0	1	0	2
Grady Lewis	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Judson Martindale	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sabien Cain	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jalen Barbee	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	26	4-6	1-2	11-13	4	1	1	20
Julian Vaughns	Guard	25	5-18	2-11	2-2	2	2	2	14
EJ Neal Jr.	G	25	4-8	2-5	0-2	5	1	1	10
Bailey Nunn	G	24	2-6	2-4	0-1	2	4	1	6
Emil Skytta	G	30	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	4	1	5
Jalen Pitre	F	16	2-3	1-1	0-0	5	1	1	5
Chudi Dioramma	F	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	4
Alex Kovatchev	G	25	1-6	1-4	0-0	6	0	0	3
Bowyn Beatty	F	19	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

113.5Offensive Efficiency99.1

99.1Defensive Efficiency113.5

14.4Net Efficiency-14.4

56.0%Effective FG%50.9%

61.0%True Shooting %55.2%

20.1%Turnover Rate23.0%

62.0%Free Throw Rate37.7%

34.0%3-Point Rate56.6%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.