Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.0%Fresno State

24.0%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -317

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 80

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 73

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricCal State Bakersfield

47.1MMH Power Index32.2

104.9Offensive Efficiency100.2

104.9Defensive Efficiency112.6

0.0Net Efficiency-12.4

1.5Strength of Schedule-1.7

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

69.4Tempo73.0

51.3%Effective FG%46.4%

18.2%Turnover Rate18.6%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

35.5%Free Throw Rate43.8%

0.0Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–32.2), offensive efficiency (104.9–100.2), defensive efficiency (104.9–112.6), net efficiency (0.0–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–28.2), free throw rate (43.8–35.5).

Final

Fresno State

56—74

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Bakersfield by 18 • 72.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

21-56FG30-65

38.0%FG%46.0%

2-163PT5-17

13.0%3PT%29.0%

12-19FT9-18

63.0%FT%50.0%

27Rebounds51

7Offensive Rebounds19

5Assists11

15Turnovers17

7Steals5

6Blocks4

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zaon Collins	G	24	4-8	1-1	3-7	5	1	0	0	12
Elijah Price	F	26	4-8	0-2	3-3	7	2	2	3	11
Amar Augillard	G	25	3-8	0-4	2-3	1	0	1	0	8
Mykell Robinson	Forward	29	2-9	0-3	3-3	3	2	1	0	7
Jalen Weaver	Guard	37	2-11	1-3	1-2	4	0	2	0	6
Alex Crawford	F	31	3-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	6
Jasir Tremble	Guard	15	3-5	0-1	0-1	0	0	1	0	6
Mor Seck	C	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	0
Joshua Bonga	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
David Douglas Jr.	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Corey Stephenson	G	31	7-13	0-0	3-6	9	1	1	1	17
Jemel Jones	G	22	6-11	0-4	1-3	4	3	0	0	13
CJ Hardy	G	25	4-9	1-2	0-3	4	5	0	0	9
Marvin McGhee IV	G	24	3-8	2-4	1-2	12	1	2	1	9
Marvin McGhee III	G	25	3-8	1-5	0-0	6	0	0	0	7
Jaden Alexander	G	13	3-4	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	20	1-4	0-0	2-2	5	1	1	2	4
Shakir Odunewu	C	12	1-4	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Tom Mark	F	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kadar Waller	G	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Cameron Clark	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Colin Darby	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.3Possessions72.3

77.5Offensive Efficiency102.4

102.4Defensive Efficiency77.5

-24.9Net Efficiency24.9

39.3%Effective FG%50.0%

43.1%True Shooting %50.3%

20.5%Turnover Rate23.8%

33.9%Free Throw Rate27.7%

28.6%3-Point Rate26.2%

0.33Assist / Turnover0.65

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 72.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.