North Carolina Central

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.8%North Carolina Central

94.2%Winthrop

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWinthrop -19.1

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINEWinthrop -1624

Winthrop

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 68

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScoreWinthrop 88

Team Comparison

North Carolina CentralMetricWinthrop

35.8MMH Power Index56.2

104.9Offensive Efficiency115.6

110.2Defensive Efficiency104.3

-5.3Net Efficiency11.3

-8.0Strength of Schedule-3.6

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.8

68.5Tempo72.4

49.8%Effective FG%51.2%

17.7%Turnover Rate15.0%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

39.7%Free Throw Rate44.4%

-3.6Average Margin8.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Winthrop HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWinthrop holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.2–35.8), offensive efficiency (115.6–104.9), defensive efficiency (104.3–110.2), net efficiency (11.3–-5.3).

Final

North Carolina Central

75—77

Winthrop

Winthrop by 2 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Carolina CentralTEAM STATWinthrop

26-58FG26-54

45.0%FG%48.0%

11-223PT6-21

50.0%3PT%29.0%

12-15FT19-26

80.0%FT%73.0%

27Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists10

14Turnovers15

5Steals7

—Blocks3

23Fouls17

Player Box Score

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Po'Boigh King	G	32	6-13	5-8	1-2	1	0	3	18
Dionte Johnson	G	27	6-12	1-4	2-2	4	3	0	15
Jaqai Murray	F	24	5-7	1-1	1-2	6	0	0	12
Floyd Rideau Jr.	Guard	19	3-4	2-3	2-3	3	0	1	10
Timmy Adedire	Forward	32	2-7	1-3	4-4	4	4	1	9
Keishon Porter	G	26	2-5	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	5
Isaac Parson	Guard	15	2-6	0-1	0-0	3	4	0	4
Aquan Smart	Guard	13	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	3	0	2
Perry Smith Jr.	C	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0

Winthrop

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kelton Talford	Not Available	31	8-13	0-0	6-8	10	0	2	0	22
Nick Johnson	Not Available	29	5-7	2-3	5-8	1	2	1	1	17
Kasen Harrison	Not Available	36	5-8	1-2	2-3	6	6	2	0	13
Paul Jones III	G	27	3-8	3-7	2-3	5	0	0	0	11
K.J. Doucet	Forward	23	3-6	0-1	4-4	3	0	2	0	10
Tommy Kamarad	F	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Logan Duncomb	C	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Bryce Baker	G	21	0-5	0-3	0-0	4	1	0	1	0
Yoro Diallo	Forward	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tai Hamilton	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Noah Van Bibber	Guard	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Jolly	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Wilson	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

108.2Offensive Efficiency111.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency108.2

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

54.3%Effective FG%53.7%

57.6%True Shooting %58.0%

20.0%Turnover Rate21.9%

25.9%Free Throw Rate48.1%

37.9%3-Point Rate38.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Winthrop won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.