Utah

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.7%Utah

64.3%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMississippi State -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL160.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMississippi State -180

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah 78

Projected Total160.1

Projected ScoreMississippi State 82

Team Comparison

UtahMetricMississippi State

43.9MMH Power Index44.6

108.8Offensive Efficiency107.4

115.8Defensive Efficiency113.2

-7.0Net Efficiency-5.8

5.1Strength of Schedule5.0

-16.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

68.3Tempo72.3

52.3%Effective FG%51.6%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.1%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

32.2%Free Throw Rate30.9%

-4.8Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mississippi State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMississippi State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–43.9), defensive efficiency (113.2–115.8), net efficiency (-5.8–-7.0), ball security (16.1–16.7).

Utah COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–107.4), strength of schedule (5.1–5.0), recent form (-16.3–-17.5).

Final

Utah

73—78

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 5 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UtahTEAM STATMississippi State

28-62FG24-67

45.0%FG%36.0%

9-283PT6-25

32.0%3PT%24.0%

8-14FT24-33

57.0%FT%73.0%

41Rebounds45

10Offensive Rebounds17

15Assists15

13Turnovers7

3Steals8

2Blocks7

26Fouls15

Player Box Score

Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ezra Ausar	F	26	4-13	0-0	7-10	4	2	0	1	15
Mason Madsen	Guard	20	5-7	4-5	0-0	5	1	0	0	14
Keanu Dawes	F	25	6-8	0-2	1-2	12	0	1	1	13
Miro Little	G	27	4-8	2-5	0-1	4	6	0	0	10
Gabe Madsen	Guard	33	4-15	1-10	0-0	3	1	0	0	9
Mike Sharavjamts	G	21	3-6	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	6
Hunter Erickson	G	29	1-3	1-3	0-1	5	3	1	0	3
Jake Wahlin	F	19	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	3

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	33	8-16	5-9	2-2	1	2	1	0	23
KeShawn Murphy	F	27	5-12	0-1	8-10	14	1	0	2	18
Riley Kugel	G	27	4-10	0-4	4-6	6	1	1	0	12
Cameron Matthews	Forward	23	2-3	0-0	8-10	4	4	2	0	12
RJ Melendez	Forward	16	2-5	0-2	2-3	2	1	2	1	6
Claudell Harris Jr.	Guard	29	2-10	1-7	0-0	2	3	1	0	5
Mike Nwoko	F	16	1-4	0-0	0-2	11	2	0	3	2
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	15	0-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Kanye Clary	G	14	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

101.1Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency101.1

-6.9Net Efficiency6.9

52.4%Effective FG%40.3%

53.2%True Shooting %47.2%

18.1%Turnover Rate9.6%

22.6%Free Throw Rate49.3%

45.2%3-Point Rate37.3%

1.15Assist / Turnover2.14

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.