California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.0%California

40.0%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -150

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 79

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreUSC 78

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricUSC

56.5MMH Power Index48.3

111.8Offensive Efficiency108.5

104.8Defensive Efficiency107.6

7.0Net Efficiency0.9

2.8Strength of Schedule2.5

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

69.9Tempo72.4

52.6%Effective FG%50.7%

14.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

36.8%Free Throw Rate45.3%

4.9Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–48.3), offensive efficiency (111.8–108.5), defensive efficiency (104.8–107.6), net efficiency (7.0–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.2–26.6), free throw rate (45.3–36.8).

Final

California

71—66

USC

California by 5 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATUSC

27-55FG25-57

49.0%FG%44.0%

7-213PT6-21

33.0%3PT%29.0%

10-13FT10-14

77.0%FT%71.0%

31Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists10

13Turnovers10

4Steals4

4Blocks1

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrej Stojakovic	G	32	7-11	0-2	6-6	5	2	0	1	20
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	32	7-11	4-7	1-2	2	2	1	0	19
Mady Sissoko	Center	25	3-4	0-0	3-4	5	1	0	1	9
DeJuan Campbell	G	23	3-7	1-3	0-0	1	0	2	0	7
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	16	3-7	0-2	0-0	7	0	1	0	6
BJ Omot	F	26	2-6	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	7	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Lee Dort	F	15	1-1	0-0	0-1	7	2	0	2	2
Rytis Petraitis	F	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Christian Tucker	Guard	12	0-4	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Desmond Claude	G	38	7-14	3-6	3-6	4	3	1	0	20
Saint Thomas	Forward	38	7-17	0-4	1-2	3	1	0	0	15
Wesley Yates III	G	16	4-10	0-2	2-2	2	1	2	0	10
Terrance Williams II	F	38	3-6	2-5	0-0	5	0	1	0	8
Rashaun Agee	F	14	1-1	1-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	5
Josh Cohen	Forward	9	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	24	0-2	0-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Matt Knowling	Forward	19	1-4	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	1	2
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Isaiah Elohim	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

107.6Offensive Efficiency100.0

100.0Defensive Efficiency107.6

7.6Net Efficiency-7.6

55.5%Effective FG%49.1%

58.0%True Shooting %51.8%

19.4%Turnover Rate15.5%

23.6%Free Throw Rate24.6%

38.2%3-Point Rate36.8%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

California won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.