Colgate

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.6%Colgate

85.4%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.4

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -585

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColgate 73

Projected Total158.4

Projected ScoreNC State 85

Team Comparison

ColgateMetricNC State

48.8MMH Power Index60.1

111.7Offensive Efficiency118.4

109.0Defensive Efficiency108.6

2.7Net Efficiency9.8

-2.0Strength of Schedule6.4

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

68.4Tempo70.2

54.5%Effective FG%55.1%

14.8%Turnover Rate13.1%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

30.0%Free Throw Rate35.7%

1.8Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–48.8), offensive efficiency (118.4–111.7), defensive efficiency (108.6–109.0), net efficiency (9.8–2.7).

Colgate COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-0.3–-11.9).

Final

Colgate

49—72

NC State

NC State by 23 • 71.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColgateTEAM STATNC State

21-63FG24-54

33.0%FG%44.0%

5-263PT3-14

19.0%3PT%21.0%

2-5FT21-26

40.0%FT%81.0%

36Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists10

15Turnovers12

8Steals8

3Blocks7

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	Guard	24	4-11	1-7	0-0	0	1	0	0	9
Brady Cummins	G	25	3-6	0-1	2-3	5	2	0	0	8
Parker Jones	G	24	3-8	2-6	0-0	4	1	2	1	8
Chandler Baker	Guard	20	2-5	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Kyle Carlesimo	G	11	2-6	1-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Sam Wright	F	14	2-8	0-1	0-1	5	0	0	0	4
Cameron Brennan	F	12	2-4	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	2	4
Jeff Woodward	Forward	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	3	1	0	2
Jalen Cox	G	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Stevie Clark	G	5	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Blake Forrest	G	21	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	5	3	0	0
Julian Scott	Guard	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Cooper Wright	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Josh Ahayere	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	16	5-8	0-0	9-9	4	1	2	3	19
Marcus Hill	G	24	6-10	0-0	5-6	5	1	0	0	17
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	23	4-8	0-0	3-5	4	1	0	0	11
Jayden Taylor	Guard	24	2-7	1-6	3-4	2	0	2	1	8
Dontrez Styles	Guard	24	3-6	1-1	0-0	11	0	0	2	7
Breon Pass	Guard	22	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	7
Michael O'Connell	Guard	26	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	4	1	0	2
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	16	0-2	0-1	1-2	5	1	1	0	1
Bryce Heard	G	17	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Jordan Snell	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
KJ Keatts	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.9Possessions71.9

68.2Offensive Efficiency100.1

100.1Defensive Efficiency68.2

-32.0Net Efficiency32.0

37.3%Effective FG%47.2%

37.5%True Shooting %54.3%

21.0%Turnover Rate16.6%

7.9%Free Throw Rate48.1%

41.3%3-Point Rate25.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

NC State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 71.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.