North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%North Dakota State

50.5%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.7

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -102

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 74

Projected Total147.7

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 74

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricSouthern Illinois

59MMH Power Index54.6

115.4Offensive Efficiency103.4

100.8Defensive Efficiency98.5

14.6Net Efficiency4.9

-4.6Strength of Schedule1.6

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

69.6Tempo70.6

54.5%Effective FG%49.5%

15.5%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

31.3%Free Throw Rate32.3%

10.1Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–54.6), offensive efficiency (115.4–103.4), net efficiency (14.6–4.9), recent form (14.3–7.7).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.5–100.8), strength of schedule (1.6–-4.6), free throw rate (32.3–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

44—69

Southern Illinois

Southern Illinois by 25 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

18-68FG29-56

26.0%FG%52.0%

5-273PT3-8

19.0%3PT%38.0%

3-7FT8-15

43.0%FT%53.0%

40Rebounds43

15Offensive Rebounds5

10Assists18

9Turnovers7

3Steals6

4Blocks3

12Fouls10

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacari White	G	31	4-18	1-10	0-2	3	4	1	0	9
Brennan Watkins	G	28	3-9	2-4	0-0	4	1	1	0	8
Darik Dissette	Guard	18	3-5	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	1	6
Luke Kasubke	Guard	22	1-8	1-6	2-2	9	0	0	0	5
Treyson Anderson	F	17	2-6	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	1	4
Patrick Bath	Forward	3	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Noah Feddersen	F	20	1-8	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	2	3
Jeremiah Burke	F	11	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Tajavis Miller	G	7	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Masen Miller	Guard	31	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Andy Stefonowicz	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ali Dibba	G	28	8-11	1-2	0-2	7	2	0	1	17
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	21	2-6	0-1	5-5	9	3	1	0	9
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	21	3-6	1-2	2-4	1	3	1	0	9
Elijah Elliott	G	28	4-8	0-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	8
Davion Sykes	G	20	3-6	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	6
Jorge Moreno	F	7	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Drew Steffe	G	22	2-5	1-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	5
Rolyns Aligbe	F	17	2-5	0-0	1-2	7	1	3	0	5
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	19	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	1	4
Antwaun Massey	F	17	0-4	0-0	0-2	3	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

67.5Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency67.5

-38.3Net Efficiency38.3

30.1%Effective FG%54.5%

30.8%True Shooting %54.7%

13.8%Turnover Rate10.7%

10.3%Free Throw Rate26.8%

39.7%3-Point Rate14.3%

1.11Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.