Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.9%Idaho State

71.1%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL161.8

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -246

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 78

Projected Total161.8

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 84

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricCal State Fullerton

45.9MMH Power Index49.4

111.0Offensive Efficiency108.8

113.4Defensive Efficiency107.1

-2.4Net Efficiency1.7

0.2Strength of Schedule-1.2

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

67.1Tempo76.3

52.2%Effective FG%52.6%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.1%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

39.1%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-1.6Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–45.9), defensive efficiency (107.1–113.4), net efficiency (1.7–-2.4), recent form (2.7–-9.6).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.0–108.8), strength of schedule (0.2–-1.2), offensive rebounding (33.9–25.5).

Final

Idaho State

61—62

Cal State Fullerton

Cal State Fullerton by 1 • 62.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

21-68FG24-49

31.0%FG%49.0%

6-283PT7-15

21.0%3PT%47.0%

13-14FT7-8

93.0%FT%88.0%

42Rebounds29

22Offensive Rebounds6

5Assists11

10Turnovers15

9Steals4

3Blocks6

12Fouls10

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Darling	G	34	5-16	3-6	4-4	1	3	2	0	17
Jake O'Neil	Guard	33	6-15	1-5	4-4	12	0	3	1	17
Isaiah Griffin	F	36	5-12	1-3	5-6	6	0	1	0	16
Evan Otten	F	34	3-7	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	6
Jackson Greene	Forward	12	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Connor Hollenbeck	F	30	0-7	0-5	0-0	8	1	0	0	0
AJ Burgin	Guard	10	0-5	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Quentin Meza	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Blake Daberkow	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jaedyn Brown	G	1	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Mikey Square	Not Available	26	7-9	0-0	3-3	5	3	1	2	17
Donovan Oday	G	28	6-12	3-3	1-1	7	1	0	0	16
Davis Bynum	F	14	5-8	2-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	12
Kaleb Brown	G	14	1-3	0-1	3-3	2	1	1	0	5
Keith Richard	Guard	20	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Freddie Cooper	Guard	13	1-4	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	3
Zachary Visentin	Center	23	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	2
Antwan Robinson	Guard	19	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Kendrick De Luna	F	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
LoLo Rudolph	Guard	26	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	5	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.3Possessions62.3

97.9Offensive Efficiency99.5

99.5Defensive Efficiency97.9

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

35.3%Effective FG%56.1%

40.9%True Shooting %58.7%

16.0%Turnover Rate24.3%

20.6%Free Throw Rate16.3%

41.2%3-Point Rate30.6%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 62.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.