Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Buffalo

70.8%Vermont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVermont -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.5

MODEL MONEYLINEVermont -242

Vermont

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 71

Projected Total149.5

Projected ScoreVermont 78

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricVermont

49.7MMH Power Index53.1

114.9Offensive Efficiency112.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency104.7

2.7Net Efficiency7.5

0.0Strength of Schedule-4.4

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency12.4

67.9Tempo65.4

56.1%Effective FG%54.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.4%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

40.4%Free Throw Rate32.4%

1.8Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Vermont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVermont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.1–49.7), defensive efficiency (104.7–112.2), net efficiency (7.5–2.7), recent form (12.4–-5.9).

Buffalo COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.9–112.2), strength of schedule (0.0–-4.4), shooting efficiency (56.1–54.1).

Final

Buffalo

67—78

Vermont

Vermont by 11 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATVermont

23-55FG27-57

42.0%FG%47.0%

6-193PT9-21

32.0%3PT%43.0%

15-22FT15-22

68.0%FT%68.0%

40Rebounds33

12Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists12

12Turnovers5

1Steals3

5Blocks6

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Sabol	G	39	8-16	3-5	3-3	2	2	0	0	22
Noah Batchelor	G	33	4-8	2-5	6-9	10	1	0	0	16
Bryson Wilson	G	22	5-10	0-1	1-2	3	3	1	2	11
Tim Oboh	C	14	2-5	1-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	8
Anquan Boldin Jr	G	30	2-5	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	2	4
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	26	1-5	0-2	2-4	5	1	0	1	4
Frederiks Meinarts	Center	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Tyson Dunn	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Brayden Jackson	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Kavon Bradford	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ileri Ayo-Faleye	Forward	32	4-8	3-6	7-8	5	0	0	2	18
TJ Hurley	G	28	6-11	3-5	2-2	4	0	0	1	17
Shamir Bogues	Guard	31	5-14	0-2	0-2	6	4	2	0	10
TJ Long	G	34	3-8	1-3	2-3	4	3	1	0	9
Sam Alamutu	G	19	4-5	0-0	1-3	4	1	0	1	9
Sean Blake	G	16	3-5	1-2	1-2	2	1	0	0	8
Nick Fiorillo	Forward	27	2-5	1-2	2-2	5	3	0	2	7
Jace Roquemore	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Noah Barnett	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Seth Joba	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

103.1Offensive Efficiency120.0

120.0Defensive Efficiency103.1

-16.9Net Efficiency16.9

47.3%Effective FG%55.3%

51.2%True Shooting %57.8%

18.3%Turnover Rate7.8%

40.0%Free Throw Rate38.6%

34.5%3-Point Rate36.8%

0.67Assist / Turnover2.40

Game Summary

Vermont won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.