Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.8%Bellarmine

95.2%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -21.5

PROJECTED TOTAL163.8

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -1983

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 71

Projected Total163.8

Projected ScoreLouisville 93

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricLouisville

44.9MMH Power Index67.1

119.6Offensive Efficiency118.6

122.1Defensive Efficiency102.2

-2.5Net Efficiency16.4

-2.8Strength of Schedule6.0

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

66.9Tempo71.0

60.0%Effective FG%56.9%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.8%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

35.3%Free Throw Rate34.1%

-1.7Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–44.9), defensive efficiency (102.2–122.1), net efficiency (16.4–-2.5), strength of schedule (6.0–-2.8).

Bellarmine COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.6–118.6), shooting efficiency (60.0–56.9), ball security (15.3–16.8).

Final

Bellarmine

68—100

Louisville

Louisville by 32 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATLouisville

24-53FG35-64

45.0%FG%55.0%

9-253PT12-35

36.0%3PT%34.0%

11-17FT18-24

65.0%FT%75.0%

23Rebounds37

4Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists15

16Turnovers9

5Steals7

2Blocks2

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Johnson	G	36	10-21	6-11	3-5	5	0	0	0	29
Billy Smith	G	30	5-12	3-10	2-2	1	3	1	0	15
Dylan Branson	Forward	26	4-9	0-2	0-0	2	4	2	0	8
Tyler Doyle	G	24	3-3	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	8
Curt Hopf	Forward	27	1-3	0-1	2-4	5	3	0	2	4
Myles Watkins	G	16	1-3	0-0	1-2	2	2	1	0	3
Landin Hacker	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Kenyon Goodin	G	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Dezmond McKinney	Guard	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	0
Grant Whitaker	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Anderson	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
AJ Lux	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zachary Reed	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	26	10-14	4-7	2-2	4	3	0	0	26
Kasean Pryor	F	23	5-12	2-6	9-10	7	1	1	1	21
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	26	6-11	1-6	3-3	2	5	4	0	16
J'Vonne Hadley	G	27	3-5	0-1	4-4	5	2	0	0	10
James Scott	F	20	5-6	0-0	0-1	8	2	0	0	10
Reyne Smith	Guard	26	3-8	3-8	0-0	6	1	1	0	9
Noah Waterman	Forward	23	2-6	2-6	0-2	1	0	0	0	6
Khani Rooths	F	17	1-2	0-1	0-2	3	1	1	1	2
Frank Anselem-Ibe	Center	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cole Sherman	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Spencer Legg	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Patrick Antonelli	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aidan McCool	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

92.1Offensive Efficiency135.5

135.5Defensive Efficiency92.1

-43.4Net Efficiency43.4

53.8%Effective FG%64.1%

55.7%True Shooting %66.3%

21.9%Turnover Rate12.1%

32.1%Free Throw Rate37.5%

47.2%3-Point Rate54.7%

0.94Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Louisville won by 32 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.