UT Arlington

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.7%UT Arlington

66.3%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL142.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -197

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 69

Projected Total142.8

Projected ScoreMissouri State 73

Team Comparison

UT ArlingtonMetricMissouri State

49.6MMH Power Index51.1

102.7Offensive Efficiency110.5

97.9Defensive Efficiency108.4

4.8Net Efficiency2.1

-0.8Strength of Schedule0.5

-3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

68.1Tempo67.9

48.5%Effective FG%51.8%

20.4%Turnover Rate16.4%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

43.7%Free Throw Rate42.9%

3.3Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–49.6), offensive efficiency (110.5–102.7), strength of schedule (0.5–-0.8), recent form (-2.1–-3.9).

UT Arlington COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (97.9–108.4), net efficiency (4.8–2.1), offensive rebounding (36.0–33.0).

Final

UT Arlington

68—78

Missouri State

Missouri State by 10 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UT ArlingtonTEAM STATMissouri State

25-48FG22-57

52.0%FG%39.0%

5-153PT5-15

33.0%3PT%33.0%

13-19FT29-34

68.0%FT%85.0%

30Rebounds36

4Offensive Rebounds13

9Assists9

18Turnovers10

5Steals10

3Blocks2

23Fouls17

Player Box Score

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	27	6-11	0-2	7-10	6	0	0	1	19
Darius Burford	Guard	29	6-9	1-1	1-3	9	0	1	0	14
Raysean Seamster	F	25	5-7	1-3	3-3	6	1	1	2	14
Jaden Wells	Guard	32	2-8	2-6	0-1	2	2	1	0	6
Brandyn Talbot	Guard	19	3-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	6
Brody Robinson	G	32	2-6	1-3	0-0	3	4	0	0	5
Kade Douglas	G	26	1-4	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	0	4
Troy Hupstead	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zaxton King	G	37	5-14	2-5	6-6	4	1	0	0	18
Vincent Brady II	G	29	4-9	2-3	4-4	4	1	2	0	14
Dez White	G	35	3-13	1-6	5-6	1	2	2	0	12
Jalen Hampton	G	31	5-5	0-0	2-2	12	1	2	0	12
Chase Martin	Guard	23	2-8	0-0	7-8	4	2	2	2	11
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	22	2-4	0-0	5-8	7	1	1	0	9
Wesley Oba	Forward	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Logan Epes	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

96.3Offensive Efficiency110.5

110.5Defensive Efficiency96.3

-14.2Net Efficiency14.2

57.3%Effective FG%43.0%

59.6%True Shooting %53.3%

25.3%Turnover Rate14.3%

39.6%Free Throw Rate59.6%

31.3%3-Point Rate26.3%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.