Elon

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.7%Elon

21.3%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADElon -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.1

MODEL MONEYLINEElon -369

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreElon 81

Projected Total154.1

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 73

Team Comparison

ElonMetricNorthern Illinois

45.5MMH Power Index29.2

113.0Offensive Efficiency99.7

112.7Defensive Efficiency111.6

0.3Net Efficiency-11.9

-1.4Strength of Schedule-2.1

-13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

69.1Tempo69.7

52.6%Effective FG%48.5%

15.6%Turnover Rate21.3%

33.4%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

34.0%Free Throw Rate39.6%

0.3Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Elon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMElon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–29.2), offensive efficiency (113.0–99.7), net efficiency (0.3–-11.9), strength of schedule (-1.4–-2.1).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.6–112.7), free throw rate (39.6–34.0).

Final

Elon

75—48

Northern Illinois

Elon by 27 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ElonTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

23-49FG18-59

47.0%FG%31.0%

7-213PT9-27

33.0%3PT%33.0%

22-27FT3-10

81.0%FT%30.0%

53Rebounds25

13Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists13

17Turnovers12

8Steals8

6Blocks2

14Fouls20

Player Box Score

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Takai Simpkins	G	28	7-12	1-5	4-6	10	0	2	0	19
Tajuan Simpkins	G	24	4-9	1-2	7-8	0	2	1	1	16
Nick Dorn	G	25	4-10	3-9	1-1	4	0	2	0	12
Sam Sherry	Forward	24	3-6	1-2	5-5	10	1	0	0	12
Matt Van Komen	C	24	2-3	0-0	2-3	9	0	0	5	6
Isaac Harrell	F	20	1-1	1-1	2-2	5	0	2	0	5
Jameel Rideout	Guard	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Brayden Crump	F	13	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	1
Drew King	G	27	0-4	0-1	0-0	9	6	0	0	0
Kendall Campbell	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Trey O'Neil	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Austin Williams	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
James Dent Jr.	G	34	5-10	4-8	2-3	3	4	1	0	16
Quentin Jones	G	36	3-9	2-6	1-4	2	2	0	0	9
Quaran McPherson	G	19	4-7	1-1	0-1	2	1	4	0	9
Joe Munden Jr.	Not Available	26	3-8	2-4	0-0	8	0	2	0	8
Ethan Butler	F	28	2-13	0-1	0-2	5	1	1	2	4
Dominic Gooden	Guard	5	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Kailon Nicholls	G	19	0-5	0-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Nas Muhammad	G	17	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Oluwasegun Durosinmi	Forward	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jayden Mott	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tsvet Sotirov	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
David Mack	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Steven Tipton	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

111.4Offensive Efficiency71.3

71.3Defensive Efficiency111.4

40.1Net Efficiency-40.1

54.1%Effective FG%38.1%

60.7%True Shooting %37.6%

25.8%Turnover Rate17.5%

55.1%Free Throw Rate16.9%

42.9%3-Point Rate45.8%

0.53Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Elon won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.