Detroit Mercy

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.7%Detroit Mercy

43.3%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDetroit Mercy -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL146.5

MODEL MONEYLINEDetroit Mercy -131

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDetroit Mercy 73

Projected Total146.5

Projected ScoreBall State 73

Team Comparison

Detroit MercyMetricBall State

48.3MMH Power Index41.3

110.2Offensive Efficiency101.7

110.4Defensive Efficiency104.7

-0.2Net Efficiency-3.0

-1.9Strength of Schedule-3.9

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

70.0Tempo66.4

50.0%Effective FG%48.3%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.0%

34.1%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

35.1%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-0.1Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Detroit Mercy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDetroit Mercy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.3–41.3), offensive efficiency (110.2–101.7), net efficiency (-0.2–-3.0), strength of schedule (-1.9–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–110.4), ball security (16.0–16.1).

Final

Detroit Mercy

70—59

Ball State

Detroit Mercy by 11 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Detroit MercyTEAM STATBall State

25-55FG17-44

45.0%FG%39.0%

9-173PT5-25

53.0%3PT%20.0%

11-18FT20-30

61.0%FT%67.0%

40Rebounds30

13Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists11

16Turnovers15

9Steals11

2Blocks3

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

Detroit Mercy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Orlando Lovejoy	G	38	5-12	0-0	9-10	7	5	1	0	19
Jared Lary	G	28	6-9	3-4	0-1	4	3	2	1	15
Emmanuel Kuac	Guard	26	5-10	3-6	0-0	5	1	1	0	13
Legend Geeter	F	18	3-5	2-2	0-0	4	1	2	0	8
TJ Nadeau	G	18	2-5	1-3	0-1	2	0	1	0	5
Nate Johnson	G	26	0-3	0-0	2-5	4	1	1	0	2
Ryan Kalambay	F	19	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Stephen Okoro	Forward	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	2
Miles Mitchell	Forward	8	1-2	0-1	0-1	2	0	0	0	2
Mak Manciel	G	6	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Grant Gondrezick II	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	32	2-4	0-2	8-10	11	2	0	1	12
Juanse Gorosito	G	19	4-6	3-5	1-2	2	1	2	0	12
Payton Sparks	Center	23	3-6	0-0	4-8	7	0	0	0	10
Fatt Hill	G	25	3-6	0-2	1-3	5	3	2	1	7
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	19	1-4	0-3	4-4	0	1	3	0	6
TJ Burch	G	15	2-5	1-3	1-1	0	0	1	0	6
Ethan Brittain-Watts	Guard	29	1-6	1-5	1-2	1	3	0	0	4
Mason Jones	F	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Ben Hendriks	Center	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	0	0
Joey Hart	G	14	0-4	0-4	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

104.6Offensive Efficiency88.2

88.2Defensive Efficiency104.6

16.4Net Efficiency-16.4

53.6%Effective FG%44.3%

55.1%True Shooting %50.6%

24.0%Turnover Rate22.3%

32.7%Free Throw Rate68.2%

30.9%3-Point Rate56.8%

0.88Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Detroit Mercy won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.