New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%New Mexico State

81.4%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -9.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.1

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -438

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 68

Projected Total146.1

Projected ScoreDayton 78

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricDayton

51.2MMH Power Index59.9

108.9Offensive Efficiency108.5

104.5Defensive Efficiency101.5

4.4Net Efficiency7.0

-0.7Strength of Schedule5.7

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

68.9Tempo68.3

48.6%Effective FG%52.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.9%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

37.0%Free Throw Rate47.6%

3.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–51.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–104.5), net efficiency (7.0–4.4), strength of schedule (5.7–-0.7).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.9–108.5), ball security (15.2–16.9), offensive rebounding (33.1–26.7).

Final

New Mexico State

53—74

Dayton

Dayton by 21 • 60.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATDayton

20-55FG27-58

36.0%FG%47.0%

5-173PT10-27

29.0%3PT%37.0%

8-14FT10-18

57.0%FT%56.0%

31Rebounds41

10Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists20

9Turnovers7

3Steals3

2Blocks6

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Peter Filipovity	Forward	24	5-10	2-2	3-6	7	0	0	0	15
Robert Carpenter	Forward	26	6-10	1-4	1-2	9	0	1	1	14
Christian Cook	Guard	31	4-13	1-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	9
Zawdie Jackson	G	29	2-7	0-1	4-4	2	2	0	0	8
Jaden Harris	G	14	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Dionte Bostick	Guard	20	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Carl Cherenfant	G	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Emmanuel Tshimanga	Forward	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Ed Nnamoko	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Nate Tshimanga	Forward	8	0-1	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Gabe Pickens	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	0
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Santos	Forward	33	8-15	6-10	1-2	8	1	0	0	23
Amaël L'Etang	F	13	4-6	0-2	3-5	3	1	0	1	11
Zed Key	Forward	21	4-7	0-0	2-5	2	1	0	2	10
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	30	3-11	2-6	0-0	7	2	2	1	8
Javon Bennett	G	21	2-4	1-3	2-2	5	6	1	0	7
Posh Alexander	Guard	22	2-4	1-2	0-0	5	4	0	1	5
Malachi Smith	G	19	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	5	0	0	4
Hamad Mousa	G	13	1-2	0-1	0-2	0	0	0	0	2
Jacob Conner	F	10	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Will Maxwell	G	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Jaiun Simon	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Isaac Jack	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Makai Grant	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Evan Dickey	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Atticus Schuler	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Brady Uhl	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.7Possessions60.7

87.3Offensive Efficiency121.9

121.9Defensive Efficiency87.3

-34.6Net Efficiency34.6

40.9%Effective FG%55.2%

43.0%True Shooting %55.6%

14.8%Turnover Rate11.6%

25.5%Free Throw Rate31.0%

30.9%3-Point Rate46.6%

1.11Assist / Turnover2.86

Game Summary

Dayton won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 60.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.