Purdue Fort Wayne

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Purdue Fort Wayne

59.5%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPenn State -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINEPenn State -147

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue Fort Wayne 78

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScorePenn State 80

Team Comparison

Purdue Fort WayneMetricPenn State

43.4MMH Power Index42.3

111.2Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.8Defensive Efficiency117.6

1.4Net Efficiency-8.4

-4.7Strength of Schedule5.3

-7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

70.2Tempo67.5

54.5%Effective FG%53.4%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.6%

23.9%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

30.5%Free Throw Rate34.6%

1.0Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue Fort Wayne HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue Fort Wayne holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.4–42.3), offensive efficiency (111.2–109.2), defensive efficiency (109.8–117.6), net efficiency (1.4–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.3–-4.7), offensive rebounding (25.6–23.9), free throw rate (34.6–30.5).

Final

Purdue Fort Wayne

89—102

Penn State

Penn State by 13 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Purdue Fort WayneTEAM STATPenn State

31-70FG34-61

44.0%FG%56.0%

12-283PT11-25

43.0%3PT%44.0%

15-19FT23-30

79.0%FT%77.0%

31Rebounds39

16Offensive Rebounds17

16Assists25

10Turnovers13

9Steals8

4Blocks8

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

Purdue Fort Wayne

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Jackson	G	38	10-21	1-4	10-12	2	2	1	0	31
Corey Hadnot II	G	27	6-10	5-8	3-4	0	3	5	0	20
Eric Mulder	F	27	6-8	0-0	0-0	11	1	2	1	12
Quinton Morton-Robertson	Guard	32	2-6	2-5	2-2	1	8	1	0	8
Rasheed Bello	Guard	22	3-9	1-2	0-1	2	2	0	0	7
Maximus Nelson	F	16	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Trey Lewis	G	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Deangelo Elisee	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	3	2
Chandler Cuthrell	F	15	0-7	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Chris Morgan	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	37	7-9	4-5	7-8	7	11	2	0	25
Zach Hicks	Forward	32	5-11	5-9	2-2	3	2	2	1	17
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	25	6-9	0-0	4-8	10	2	1	5	16
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	24	5-6	1-1	2-2	6	4	2	1	13
Puff Johnson	G	26	4-8	0-2	3-4	4	3	0	1	11
Freddie Dilione V	G	20	3-8	0-4	5-5	0	0	0	0	11
Kachi Nzeh	F	12	3-3	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	6
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	19	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Jahvin Carter	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Dominick Stewart	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

123.3Offensive Efficiency141.3

141.3Defensive Efficiency123.3

-18.0Net Efficiency18.0

52.9%Effective FG%64.8%

56.3%True Shooting %67.8%

13.7%Turnover Rate18.2%

27.1%Free Throw Rate49.2%

40.0%3-Point Rate41.0%

1.60Assist / Turnover1.92

Game Summary

Penn State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.